Fairfax Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC & Y8

Junior Men's Foil

Sunday, January 21, 2024 at 11:30 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TANG Albert 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
2 PARRISH Evan 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 20%
3 TANG August L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 20%
3 ZHAO Adam 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
5 SONG Austin 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 20%
6 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
7 PAN Henry 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 44% 12%
8 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
9 ALONSO Vinicius 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 25% 5%
10 JIANG Bowang 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
11 MAO Lucas 100% 100% 100% 93% 69% 30% 5%
12 LEVY Jacob 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
13 YU William 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
14 PITERBARG Maxim 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
15 GRIEB Oliver 100% 87% 53% 20% 5% 1% -
16 KIM Brian 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 12% 2%
17 TRUBETSKI David 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 11% 1%
18 SHENG Dalton 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
19 KLYCZEK Andrew 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
20 ALVAREZ ADRIAN ALEJANDRO 100% 99% 89% 54% 18% 3% -
21 KIM Andy 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
22 DUSZA Zachery 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
23 TANG Alexander L. 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 14% 2%
24 XU Dinghui Ryan 100% 85% 49% 18% 4% - -
25 DANIZ FERNANDO A. 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
25 ROTHMAN Matthew 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% - -
27 ZAIDI Adil 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
28 PRUT Anton 100% 72% 31% 8% 1% - -
29 POLONI Giovanni 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 4% -
30 MARISI Gabriel 100% 94% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
31 SHANKS Aidan T. 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
32 MOORHOUSE Emmett 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
33 KRAMER Ryan 100% 89% 40% 9% 1% - -
34 SCHWARTZ Douglas 100% 96% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
35 ROJAS Elijah 100% 33% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.