Fairfax Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC & Y8

Junior Women's Épée

Sunday, January 21, 2024 at 11:30 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MARTINEZ Christina 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
2 CHI Chelsea 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 32%
3 ZHU Serene M. 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
3 QI Julieanne 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
5 YANG Alisa 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
6 LIANG Jingjing 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 20%
7 BRUNSON Nile 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 65% 20%
8 ZANGA Kaitlyn 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
9 QIU Emily 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50% 7%
10 DONGES Anna 100% 100% 97% 82% 43% 9%
11 PEELER Julia 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 14%
12 NIX Reagan 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 47% 10%
13 ILYAS Ayah 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
13 ZHANG ANGELA 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 13% 1%
15 PINNAMANENI Drithi 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 18%
16 BARDIN Kira 100% 96% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
17 RAFFERTY Catherine 100% 95% 70% 29% 5% - -
18 WRIGHT Madison 100% 84% 43% 11% 1% -
19 LY Hannah 100% 99% 90% 58% 20% 3% -
20 RHEINECKER Claire 100% 94% 65% 24% 4% -
21 HE Lizbeth 100% 99% 89% 56% 18% 2% -
22 KEE Bea Isabelle 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
23 MAGALSKI Mary 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
24 PENHOET Evelyn 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
25 RITTER Brooklyn 100% 99% 81% 43% 12% 2% -
26 NOH Rachel 100% 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
28 COMBS Hannah 100% 72% 25% 4% - - -
29 KRISHNA Rithika 100% 83% 41% 10% 1% - -
30 GAVASHELI Margarita 100% 98% 81% 42% 9% 1% -
31 DAVIS Elisabeth 100% 73% 29% 5% - - -
32 LEVKOV Maita 100% 71% 25% 4% - - -
33 RHEINECKER Eleanora Grace 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
34 PHELAN Gabrielle 100% 66% 22% 3% - -
35 EL BADAOUI Salma 100% 7% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.