Fairfax Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC & Y8

Div II Men's Foil

Sunday, January 21, 2024 at 3:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SHENG Dalton 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
2 PITERBARG Maxim 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
3 KIM Brian 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
3 KIM Andy 100% 100% 89% 54% 14%
5 JANNEY Jonathan 100% 99% 92% 62% 23% 3%
6 BLACK Zachary 100% 99% 73% 30% 5%
7 CONVERSE Warren D. 100% 100% 87% 49% 12%
8 MOORHOUSE Emmett 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
9 PRUT Anton 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1%
10 MARISI Gabriel 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 2%
11 PECK Quinn 100% 98% 81% 46% 14% 2%
12 THAN Duc 100% 51% 12% 1% - -
13 DANIZ FERNANDO A. 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
14 MCLAUGHLIN Ryan 100% 100% 92% 62% 20%
15 ROJAS Elijah 100% 15% 1% - -
16 ROTHMAN Matthew 100% 90% 52% 16% 2% -
17 CANDELARIA Armando 100% 56% 16% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.