Event Results

Div II Men's Foil

Fairfax Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC & Y8Pool Heatmap

Sunday, January 21, 2024 at 3:00 PM Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center · Fredericksburg, VA, USA
17 finishers
Birth year

At-Least Win Probabilities

Boxed values show the actual result while each column shows the chance of reaching at least that many pool wins.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SHENG Dalton 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
2 PITERBARG Maxim 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
3 KIM Brian 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
3 KIM Andy 100% 100% 89% 54% 14%
5 JANNEY Jonathan 100% 99% 92% 62% 23% 3%
6 BLACK Zachary 100% 99% 73% 30% 5%
7 CONVERSE Warren D. 100% 100% 87% 49% 12%
8 MOORHOUSE Emmett 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
9 PRUT Anton 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
10 MARISI Gabriel 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 2%
11 PECK Quinn 100% 98% 81% 46% 14% 2%
12 THAN Duc 100% 51% 12% 1% - -
13 DANIZ FERNANDO A. 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
14 MCLAUGHLIN Ryan 100% 100% 92% 62% 20%
15 ROJAS Elijah 100% 15% 1% - -
16 ROTHMAN Matthew 100% 90% 52% 16% 2% -
17 CANDELARIA Armando 100% 56% 16% 2% - -