Fairfax Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC & Y8

Div II Women's Épée

Sunday, January 21, 2024 at 3:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ZHANG ANGELA 100% 100% 92% 66% 27% 4%
2 ZOLDAK Mary 100% 100% 100% 99% 84%
3 MORET Brighid E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
3 RAFFERTY Catherine 100% 95% 69% 26% 2%
5 PENHOET Evelyn 100% 100% 94% 69% 26%
6 GAVASHELI Margarita 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
7 PHELAN Gabrielle 100% 97% 76% 37% 9% 1%
8 LAMBERT Camille L. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 20%
9 HART Jenna 100% 95% 69% 31% 7% 1%
10 DUBROVINA Irene 100% 99% 88% 54% 15%
11 D'ANGELO Olivia 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1%
12 BENSON Charlotte 100% 58% 16% 2% -
13 DUNNE Jessica 100% 88% 51% 13% -
14 BARDIN Kira 100% 98% 81% 42% 11% 1%
15 BENAVIDES Samantha 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 3%
16 KRISHNA Rithika 100% 82% 41% 9% -
17 NOH Rachel 100% 98% 80% 40% 8%
18 MARTIN Maria Elena 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% -
19 NANAYAKKARA Sanuthi 100% 55% 14% 2% - -
20 AVALOS Sofia 100% 87% 49% 14% 2%
21 HAMMONDS Carissa 100% 85% 45% 11% -
22 CHEN Shanshan 100% 100% 93% 65% 25% 3%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.