Fairfax Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC & Y8

Y-14 Women's Foil

Sunday, January 21, 2024 at 3:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MARISI Gianna 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74%
2 HAFEZ Tahiyah 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 57%
3 ELNAGGAR lily 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 13%
3 SELSER Ella 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 23% 2%
5 KATS Ekaterina 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 5%
6 PINEDA jade luna 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
7 SINGH Evangelina 100% 99% 88% 55% 19% 3% -
8 MEITZEN Havah 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3% -
9 KIM Sophia 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
10 BARCZAK Rebekah 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 15% 1%
11 ACHESON Lilianne 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
12 PHAN Logan 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
13 LU Zoe 100% 97% 72% 30% 6% - -
14 BLANKS Campbell 100% 99% 88% 52% 15% 2% -
15 WU Lorena 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 35% 4%
16 ROTHMAN Rebecca 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
17 DZIWULSKI Elisabeth Claire 100% 95% 64% 25% 5% - -
18 ALLEN Sophia 100% 94% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
19 BERGMANN Beatrix 100% 98% 76% 33% 6% - -
20 LUEKEN Adelina 100% 26% 3% - - - -
21 SUN Erin 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.