MFA Y8, Y10, Y12, Senior (unrated only) - All foil event

Y-10 Mixed Foil

Sunday, January 21, 2024 at 9:00 AM

Marin Fencing Academy - San Rafael, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 EVANS Desmond 100% 100% 99% 92% 50%
2 ALVAREZ Francisco Janusz 100% 100% 99% 93% 59% 5%
3 SHENOY sean 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 5%
3 LIU Mia 100% 95% 67% 26% 3% -
5 GOLDSTEIN Benjamin 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
6 SHENOY Neil 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
7 LI Yunze 100% 100% 94% 65% 19%
8 ZHAN Catherine 100% 97% 76% 35% 8% 1%
9 CHEN Ryker 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
10 JUE Lucas 100% 100% 94% 58% 11% -
11 CHOI William 100% 87% 50% 16% 2% -
12 VIEN Bradley 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 36%
13 ZHANG Bosen 100% 88% 42% 6% -
14 LI Lief 100% 91% 52% 10% 1%
15 KAJITA Grayson 100% 97% 77% 36% 8% -
16 CHOI Aaron 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% -
17 WINTERS Ellie 100% 100% 87% 46% 11% 1%
18 NGUYEN Norris 100% 100% 93% 64% 22% 2%
19 KO Adeline 100% 67% 23% 4% - -
20 LUI Ariana 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 18%
21 CHEN James 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1%
22 KIM Ines 100% 66% 22% 3% -
23 HU Audrey 100% 77% 33% 6% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.