MFA Y8, Y10, Y12, Senior (unrated only) - All foil event

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Sunday, January 21, 2024 at 12:00 PM

Marin Fencing Academy - San Rafael, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 THERON Zoe 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
2 LIU Ariana 100% 100% 99% 85% 48% 11%
3 HSIAO Ariya 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
3 SAH Madeleine 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
5 YANG Steve 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
6 GANAPATHI Eshan 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 9%
7 SHEN Gloria 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 7%
8 CHEN Ryker 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 32%
9 XU Ethan 100% 100% 93% 68% 28% 5%
10 HSU Rachel 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 11%
11 KO Ian 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
12 STERNAD Pia 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
13 JUE Lucas 100% 74% 28% 5% 1% -
14 LEE Abigail 100% 100% 99% 86% 47% 10%
15 DUPUIS Hadrien 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
16 ARYA Leela 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% 1%
17 KAJITA Grayson 100% 93% 60% 20% 3% -
18 KIM Parker 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% -
19 ALCAZAREN Cian 100% 99% 91% 63% 27% 5%
20 GOLDSTEIN Benjamin 100% 97% 71% 28% 5% -
21 ALVAREZ Francisco Janusz 100% 99% 88% 53% 17% 2%
22 SARANGAN Ovia 100% 96% 73% 33% 7% -
23 FISCHER Grant 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 33%
24 KO Cameron 100% 97% 69% 26% 4% -
25 WARBURTON Eleanor 100% 96% 69% 28% 5% -
26 LIN Dylan 100% 37% 5% - - -
27 HSU Liam 100% 62% 19% 3% - -
28 PANTH Anirudh 100% 87% 50% 16% 2% -
29 SHEN Alaric 100% 72% 27% 5% - -
30 KHAIRUL ANWAR Rania Yasmin 100% 88% 56% 20% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.