Marx/Vivo Developmental Epee

Unrated Y-12 Mixed Épée

Saturday, January 27, 2024 at 12:00 PM

Marx Fencing Academy - Acton, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 SONG Aidan 100% 98% 81% 35% 1%
2 LEE Harrison 100% 99% 83% 31%
3 CHEN Daniel 100% 97% 73% 29% 3%
4 MANSFIELD Hunter 100% 97% 73% 21% 1%
5 YOON Jonathan 100% 83% 37% 6%
6 CHEN Yudian 100% 72% 23% 2%
8 PINCIROLI Tommaso 100% 97% 76% 35% 6%
9 MA Brendon 100% 99% 81% 41% 9%
10 GILLARD Adan 100% 100% 99% 84% 33%
11 TIAN Victoria 100% 91% 57% 16%
12 LAZORISAK Andrew 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
13 SONKU Mira 100% 91% 56% 15%
15 SHI Evan 100% 69% 25% 4% -
16 KIM Noah 100% 97% 72% 24%
17 CURTIN Evelyn 100% 56% 15% 2% -
18 LEE Iona 100% 96% 72% 27% -
19 WILLIAMS Gavin 100% 71% 21% 2% -
20 CIANCHETTA David 100% 49% 10% 1% -
21 ZHENG Jason 100% 97% 69% 22%
22 SILVERSTONE Ryan 100% 89% 51% 14% 1%
23 HOLBROOK Silas 100% 48% 9% 1%
24 DING Iris 100% 100% 97% 70% 19%
26 KANDHI Aryaa 100% 100% 96% 75% 30%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.