The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

2024 Herb Spector Cup

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, January 27, 2024 at 9:00 AM

Birmingham Fencing Club - Hoover, AL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHAO Adam - - 4% 21% 44% 31%
2 ROSS III Paul D. - 2% 12% 34% 39% 14%
3 WONG Garrick G. - - - - 4% 36% 59%
3 MARISI Gabriel 1% 12% 35% 36% 15% 2%
5 LI Sophia M. - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 26%
6 VOLKOV Oleksandr - - 3% 16% 40% 33% 8%
7 YOON junhyeok - - 1% 8% 37% 55%
8 VAUGHAN Norah - 1% 9% 30% 40% 19% 1%
9 WANG Brayden - - 5% 26% 44% 23%
10 MARISI Gianna - 1% 10% 33% 44% 12%
11 THIYAGARAJAA Ari 2% 19% 36% 29% 12% 2% -
12 WANG Sophia - 4% 21% 39% 29% 7% 1%
13 DING Tommy 1% 8% 31% 41% 17% 2%
14 DAI Christopher - 4% 20% 41% 30% 6% -
15 FAN Yuchen 1% 8% 30% 39% 19% 3%
16 JOHNSON Soren 9% 38% 37% 14% 2% -
17 WILLIAMS Kenneth H. - 1% 10% 35% 40% 14%
18 HARKINS Craig T. - - 4% 21% 38% 28% 7%
19 CHOI JULIE 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
20 BROWN Lily 10% 38% 39% 12% 1% -
21 PHAN Henry 8% 38% 42% 12% 1% -
22 LANDMAN Charlotte 9% 35% 37% 16% 3% - -
23 GORAYA Abdullah 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
24 CAO Kellen 4% 27% 46% 21% 3% - -
25 MITCHELL Henry 1% 9% 33% 41% 15% 2%
26 LIU Elinda 11% 34% 37% 16% 2% -
27 MORTON Luke 28% 44% 23% 5% - -
28 TAN Isabella - 4% 22% 42% 27% 5% -
29 HARKINS Asher 19% 45% 30% 5% - -
30 PARISH Levi 59% 34% 6% - - -
31 BURNUM Thomas 56% 35% 8% 1% - - -
32 BARBER Annalise 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.