2024 Herb Spector Cup

Div II Mixed Foil

Saturday, January 27, 2024 at 3:00 PM

Birmingham Fencing Club - Hoover, AL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MARISI Gianna 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 19%
2 WANG Brayden 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
3 WILLIAMS Kenneth H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
3 MARISI Gabriel 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
5 VOLKOV Oleksandr 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 35%
6 VAUGHAN Norah 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18%
7 FAN Yuchen 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34% 5%
8 DING Tommy 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 8%
9 LANDMAN Charlotte 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% -
10 LIU Elinda 100% 97% 82% 52% 22% 5% 1%
11 BROWN Lily 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
12 JOHNSON Soren 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
13 CURTIS William K. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
14 THIYAGARAJAA Ari 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9% 1%
15 DAI Christopher 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 8%
16 CAO Kellen 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
17 WANG Sophia 100% 100% 99% 85% 38% 7% -
18 MITCHELL Henry 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1%
19 SU Daniel 100% 96% 66% 20% 3% - -
20 CHOI JULIE 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 8%
21 PARISH Levi 100% 89% 44% 9% 1% - -
22 HARKINS Asher 100% 76% 31% 6% 1% - -
23 MORTON Luke 100% 97% 78% 40% 11% 1% -
24 BURT Stephen 100% 69% 25% 5% - -
25 BARBER Annalise 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
26 BRIDGES Harrison 100% 38% 5% - - - -
27 GORAYA Abdullah 100% 91% 53% 16% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.