The Tom Lucente Hangover Classic 2024

Div III Mixed Épée

Saturday, January 27, 2024 at 1:00 PM

Richmond Fencing Club - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MILLSON Daniel 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 10%
2 GUMPRICH Joe P. 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 20% 3%
3 MORTIMER Gavin 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 17%
3 MASSA Mark 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
5 WATSON Raymond 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 11%
6 HURST Palmer 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4%
7 CAMPBELL Paul 100% 98% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
8 ANDERSON Dean 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 15%
9 CHAN Alfonso 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3%
10 NANAYAKKARA Sanuthi 100% 49% 11% 1% - -
11 AUSTIN Truman 100% 89% 23% 3% - -
12 MCKNIGHT Andrew 100% 95% 70% 31% 8% 1% -
13 NANAYAKKARA Damin 100% 71% 26% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.