Foothills Winter Challenge

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, January 27, 2024 at 12:00 PM

Foothills Fencing Academy - Piedmont, SC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NORWOOD Malik 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
2 SNYDER Ari 100% 100% 98% 82% 43% 9%
3 COLLIER Baiden C. 100% 100% 92% 46% 10% 1%
3 KREISER Alexander 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
5 ZIMINSKY Karel M. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
6 BIRT David (Dave) L. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 8%
7 EDGECOMB Michael J. 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 27% 4%
8 MANN Justin 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
9 PAL Ian K. 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
10 PAYNE John T. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
11 WALLACE James 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 10%
12 ARNOLD Benjamin 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 9%
13 FERRARO Nicholas 100% 86% 47% 13% 2% - -
14 VILLANI Henry M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
15 GEISSLER Maximilian 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1%
16 SMALLWOOD Jaylon 100% 99% 87% 53% 18% 3% -
17 SNYDER Kathryn 100% 53% 9% 1% - -
18 LOZIER Grace 100% 98% 79% 35% 6% -
19 BREZNY Peter 100% 99% 88% 60% 24% 4% -
20 DEEL Hayes 100% 100% 92% 64% 26% 4%
21 LEONARD Robert 100% 99% 85% 49% 15% 2%
22 GABEL Dorotea 100% 68% 24% 4% - - -
23 MEIER Nicholas M. 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% - -
24 CATES Georgia 100% 68% 24% 4% - - -
25 PINNEY Shepherd 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 14% 2%
26 HICKS Matthew 100% 29% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.