2024 Herb Spector Cup

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, January 28, 2024 at 11:00 AM

Birmingham Fencing Club - Hoover, AL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 HUTTO Joshua 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
2 MADISON Ethan S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 65%
3 GORDON Reis J. 100% 100% 100% 91% 43%
3 MODULLA Yathin R. 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 24%
5 ELLIOTT Wyatt 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
6 MALLOY Patrick G. 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 32%
7 ALLEY Everett T 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 6%
8 LIN Kason 100% 99% 87% 47% 5%
9 WANG Maxwell L. 100% 99% 91% 59% 19% 2%
10 NGUYEN Audrey 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
11 CALINSKY Edward 100% 99% 65% 22% 3% -
12 KRAFFT Douglas 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
13 SUNDQUIST Matthew 100% 99% 79% 28% 1%
14 PATEL Kushal 100% 88% 51% 16% 2% -
15 RAY William 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 7%
16 KERTESZ Stefan G. 100% 100% 97% 78% 38% 8%
17 CARRIE Konnor 100% 100% 91% 59% 18% 1%
17 WILLIAMS Eli 100% 99% 90% 60% 24% 4%
19 BROWN Hannah 100% 99% 93% 67% 28% 5%
20 MOYNIHAN Jones 100% 97% 78% 41% 10% 1%
21 LIU Elinda 100% 85% 48% 14% 2%
22 PARCELEWICZ John M. 100% 98% 79% 42% 12% 1%
23 CORDOVA Colin 100% 90% 54% 15% 2% -
24 LIU Yunhao 100% 75% 31% 7% 1% -
25 BROWN Matt 100% 99% 83% 40% 8% -
26 PUVALOWSKI Ryan 100% 73% 22% 2% -
26 FORD Tillman 100% 88% 44% 8% -
28 RESTER Christopher 100% 54% 13% 1% - -
29 HOWSE Mason 100% 100% 98% 82% 43% 8%
30 CLEMONS Adder 100% 64% 16% 1% -
31 SOPER Adam 100% 96% 68% 17% 1%
32 OGLE Bennett 100% 95% 69% 32% 8% 1%
33 BELCHER Marleigh 100% 21% 2% - - -
34 MASRI Rania 100% 52% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.