The Midwinter Melee

Div III Mixed Épée

Sunday, January 28, 2024 at 12:00 PM

Candlewood Fencing Center - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 GARCIA-CABRERA Jeffrey 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 18%
2 HELMY Richard 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
3 ALVES PEREIRA Francisco Xavier Vu 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 10%
3 LIBERT Zachariah 100% 98% 82% 45% 11%
5 RVACHEV Michael 100% 99% 88% 57% 17%
6 BUISINE Aurelien 100% 96% 66% 23% 3% -
7 BUISINE Sebastien 100% 98% 86% 50% 13%
8 HE Yurui 100% 83% 41% 10% 1%
9 LARAGY Collin 100% 96% 73% 31% 4%
10 PHELAN Gabrielle 100% 93% 62% 23% 3%
11 GOITIA Julio 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
12 EMERSON Travis 100% 85% 47% 13% 1%
13 PARSONS Leada 100% 91% 57% 18% 2%
14 SCHMALZER Ferdinand 100% 94% 65% 25% 4% -
15 ROSZKOWSKI Olivia 100% 63% 21% 4% - -
16 ROSZKOWSKI Emilia 100% 77% 35% 8% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.