Event Results
Polar Bear OpenSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | WILKINS Mateo | V V V V V V | V V V V | 5.9 | 6 | +0.1 |
| 2 | BERSCHEID Arthur | V V V V V V | V V V D | 5.0 | 6 | +1.0 |
| 3 | PHONPRASANSACK Grayson | V V V V V | V V D | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| 3 | GARSKE James | V V V D V | V V D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| 5 | FADLIA Murad | V D V V V D | V D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 6 | TOEWS Jackson | D V D V V V | V D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 7 | TRAN Allex | V V V D D V | V D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| 8 | RUBY Asher | V D D V V D | V D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 9 | HUANG Kai | D V D V V V | D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 10 | MADSEN Lindsey | D D V V V | D | 1.7 | 3 | +1.3 |
| 11 | ISHANOVA Sofia | V D V D V D | D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 12 | WOJTALEWICZ Aiden | V V D D D | D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 13 | HICKNER Gabe | D V D D D V | V D | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| 13 | ZINSER James | D D V V D D | V D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 15 | HOPKINS Dylan | D V D D D V | V D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 16 | FEEHAN Conor | D D D V D | V D | 0.7 | 1 | +0.3 |
| 17 | BASTODKAR Ved | D V D V D D | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 18 | TELCI Arya | D D D D D D | D | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| 19 | MOGENSEN Ezra | D D D D D D | D | 2.7 | 0 | -2.7 |
| 20 | CHRISTOPHER Louis | D D D D D | D | 3.1 | 0 | -3.1 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |