The Tom Lucente Hangover Classic 2024

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, January 28, 2024 at 9:00 AM

Richmond Fencing Club - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 OTT James (Jimmy) P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
2 ZOOK Evan D. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 20% 3%
3 LE TAN 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 16% 2%
3 COUGHLIN Nolan E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
5 WATSON Raymond 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 13% 2%
6 STEPHENS Corbin 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 13% 2%
7 MONTESI Eric 100% 99% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
8 SEID Zachary W. 100% 99% 87% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
9 ZELENSKY Paul 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
10 BAGHA Armin 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 5%
11 MILLSON Daniel 100% 100% 94% 73% 40% 13% 2% -
12 CAMPBELL Paul 100% 99% 91% 64% 31% 9% 1% -
13 SMITH IV Edward (Ted) A. 100% 99% 84% 48% 15% 2% -
14 NANAYAKKARA Damin 100% 20% 2% - - - -
15 ROUADY Ryan 100% 25% 3% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.