2024 Battle in Seattle ROC (D1A)

Div I-A Women's Épée

Sunday, January 28, 2024 at 9:00 AM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MONTOYA Kimberlee C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
2 FABBRO Izabela 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 42%
3 HEPLER Sarah 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 7%
3 CHA Eugenie 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 3%
5 BEAVER Hannah 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 6%
6 ANDERSON Claire 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 15% 1%
7 XU Celina 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1% -
8 LOMBARD Ella 100% 100% 100% 98% 79% 28%
9 BEAVER Ava 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 10%
10 MYRAH Vivienne 100% 99% 91% 60% 21% 3%
11 PROKOP Jeannine A. 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
12 EXUM Monica M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
13 PULLARA Ashley 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 11% 1%
14 LIU Baihan 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
15 COMES Rita 100% 99% 87% 51% 15% 2%
16 HABERKERN Kundry E. 100% 100% 94% 67% 21% 2%
17 SCHULTZ Nomi 100% 67% 22% 3% < 1% -
18 KUTSY Olga 100% 43% 8% 1% < 1% -
19 MONTOYA Amy C. 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
20 LEE Camilla 100% 90% 53% 13% 1% -
21 SCHMID Carola K. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
22 KNUDSEN Ayda Jane 100% 56% 15% 2% - -
23 TELLES Anna 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3%
23 LAI Amanda 100% 84% 42% 9% 1% -
25 MADRID Maureen 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% -
26 GUAN Isabella 100% 87% 45% 12% 1% -
27 MANDEL Jenner 100% 91% 51% 15% 2% -
28 BLOOMER Suzanne 100% 99% 88% 55% 19% 2%
29 FU Ella 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
30 AMIRAULT Amy 100% 65% 22% 4% - -
31 RICHARDS Kimberly 100% 84% 44% 13% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.