2024 Battle in Seattle ROC (D1A)

Div I-A Men's Foil

Sunday, January 28, 2024 at 12:00 PM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MITBERG Gregory W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80%
2 LEE Christopher T. 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
3 MIN Eric 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
3 SHAGIDANYAN German 100% 100% 98% 82% 42% 8%
5 CHAN Ian 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 4%
6 PORRAS Cristian 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 44%
7 GUERRA Gabriel H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 46%
8 LI Matthew 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 18% 1%
9 KIM Harrison 100% 100% 97% 67% 23% 3%
10 LU Kevin 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14% 1%
11 KRYLTSOV Michael 100% 100% 99% 93% 63% 21% 1%
12 STRUGAR Marcus A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 22%
13 TALASILA Arush 100% 100% 98% 73% 28% 4%
14 SPROWLES Cameron D. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
15 GUTIERREZ Nick A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
16 ROZALSKI Eli 100% 100% 95% 66% 21% 2%
17 KIM Andrew J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 26% 2%
18 KIM Jackson 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 13%
19 HARROCH Faustin 100% 95% 44% 8% 1% -
20 WU Alistair 100% 100% 98% 84% 45% 9%
21 LIPPMAN Sam 100% 100% 100% 88% 51% 11%
22 ZHONG Maxwell 100% 91% 59% 19% 3% -
23 STACKHOUSE Andre L. 100% 99% 93% 67% 29% 5%
24 CHONG Tristan 100% 94% 62% 19% 3% - -
25 WANG Li 100% 91% 52% 13% 1% - -
26 CHRISTIAN Jonathan 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5% -
27 FRANCO Dvorak I. 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% - -
28 KLEIN Johannes 100% 99% 84% 37% 6% -
29 GOWDA Sumeru 100% 82% 15% 1% - -
30 CRAIG Whitman 100% 82% 39% 9% 1% -
30 SKYWARK Andrew 100% 84% 41% 10% 1% -
32 ROSSMAN Brock 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% 1% -
33 SHOWALTER Cameron J. 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
34 SCHUMANN Benjamin 100% 26% 1% - - -
35 FECAROTTA Ryan 100% 73% 28% 5% - -
36 BERKE Daniel (Dan) L. 100% 59% 16% 2% - -
37 HOLCOMB Alexander 100% 43% 7% - - - -
38 HOLCOMB Michael 100% 15% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.