SoCal Scholastic Fencing League NOVICE Foil, Epee & Saber

Unrated Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, January 28, 2024 at 9:00 AM

Chaminade Middle School - Chatsworth, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BYRNE Quinlan 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
2 GUILLERMO Dante 100% 96% 71% 30% 5% -
3 MURPHY Parker 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
3 GRAHAM DICKINSON Jayden 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 39% 2%
5 ERNST Frederick 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1% -
6 KRULL Julien 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 12%
7 DAI Markenever 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
8 YOUNG Trevor 100% 71% 27% 5% - - -
9 LIBATIQUE Charles 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 47%
10 ANDERS Aaron 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 32%
11 BECK Eli 100% 100% 99% 87% 50% 11%
12 WELD Theo 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% - -
13 YU Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 13% 1%
14 PALAPA Yair 100% 95% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
15 DAI MIKENEVER 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
16 REYES Nathaniel 100% 97% 76% 35% 8% 1%
17 CALDWELL Sean 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1%
18 MONTERROSA Aiscen 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
19 GARCIA Miguel 100% 98% 79% 40% 9% 1% -
20 DONOHUE Angus 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.