SoCal Scholastic Fencing League NOVICE Foil, Epee & Saber

Unrated Junior Women's Foil

Sunday, January 28, 2024 at 1:30 PM

Chaminade Middle School - Chatsworth, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 IDANAWANG Josephine 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
2 HERRERA Audrey 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% -
3 DAVISON Miriam 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
3 DAVISON Rachel 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 24%
5 AGUILAR Mily 100% 100% 99% 91% 54% 12%
6 PAPILA Deniz 100% 100% 100% 93% 65% 22%
7 IRWIN Athena 100% 91% 57% 17% 1% -
8 DANG Salene 100% 86% 45% 9% 1% -
9 GRISWOLD Eva 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
10 TRACTON Kaitlyn 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
11 STARK Goldie 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% -
12 MANLUTAC Lara Therese 100% 95% 68% 26% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.