The Virginia Tech Open

Div III Mixed Épée

Saturday, February 3, 2024 at 1:00 PM

VT RecSports Field House - Blacksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RUBAN Misha 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 33%
2 MILLER Luke 100% 100% 93% 69% 32% 6%
3 ANDERSON Derek M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
3 HERMES Henry 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
5 WALLACE George 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 3%
6 HAN Sam 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
7 MONTESI Eric 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
8 BARTLETT Lauren 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
9 CAMPBELL Paul 100% 99% 81% 43% 11% 1%
10 WATSON Raymond 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 17%
11 VERGARA Jace Riley 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 6% -
12 KELLOFF Michael 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
13 PAYNE John T. 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9%
14 WEIKEL Joel 100% 99% 86% 50% 15% 2% -
15 VESSELS Aaron 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4%
16 FEAGIN Patrick 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 4% -
17 VERGARA Jaden Reese 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 7% 1%
18 BLUM Oliver 100% 100% 93% 66% 29% 5%
19 SOUTHWORTH Connor 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10% 1%
20 TANG Justin 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
21 KARRIEM Zainuddin 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
22 RHEINECKER Eleanora Grace 100% 98% 88% 63% 30% 8% 1%
23 BREZNY Peter 100% 100% 95% 62% 22% 4% -
24 VESSELS Susan L. 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
25 KEIM Spencer 100% 88% 51% 14% 2% -
26 SINGH Jawand 100% 100% 95% 70% 27% 3%
27 BADLANI Neel 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 3%
28 LUNDEN Espen 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
29 BLAIR Hailey 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
30 SCHICKEL Juliana 100% 96% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
31 HAYES Zackery 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
32 MOORE Mary 100% 78% 36% 8% 1% - -
33 GOODE Charlize 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
34 DIX Philip-Alexander 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 5%
35 ABU-AJAJ Mohamed 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
36 BARRETT John 100% 24% 2% - - -
37 BALDA Quinlan 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
38 MCKNIGHT Andrew 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
39 BARRIOS SOSA Maria 100% 97% 73% 33% 7% 1% -
40 PRESBY Alison 100% 86% 44% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.