SPA Randolph Campus - Saint Paul, MN, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | HOWLAND Jonas | V V V | V V V V V | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 2 | NAIDL Josiah | V V V | V V V V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 3 | MCKINLEY Luke | V V V | V V V V D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 4 | LOCKWOOD Jacob | V V | V V V D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 5 | WAKEHAM Paul | V V | V V D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 6 | GIEBLER Lucas | V V | V V V D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 7 | BERSCHEID Arthur | V V | V V D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 7 | LINEBERRY Caden | V V | V V D | 0.7 | 2 | +1.3 |
| 9 | PHONPRASANSACK Grayson | V V V V | V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 10 | GLOVER George | V V | V V D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 11 | CROOM Tucker | V V | V D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 12 | WAKEHAM Timothy | V V V V | V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 13 | CAPERS Hunter | V V | V V D | 1.3 | 2 | +0.7 |
| 14 | BREWNER Ethan | V D V | V D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 15 | HUANG Kai | V D | V D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 15 | WEISS Quintin | D V | V V D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 17 | RUBY Asher | V D | D | 0.6 | 1 | +0.4 |
| 18 | TOEWS Jackson | D V V | D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 19 | MENASCO Juliun | V D | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 20 | WOJTALEWICZ Aiden | V D | D | 0.4 | 1 | +0.6 |
| 21 | ZEITLER Blake | V D V | V D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 21 | FOSTERVOLD Castiel | D V | D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 23 | GARSKE James | D D V | D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 24 | IBARRA Alejandro | V D | V D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 25 | AHNEMANN Leif | D V D | V D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 26 | HOKANSON Braddock | D D | D | 0.2 | 0 | -0.2 |
| 27 | WOODS Jarek | D D | V D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| 28 | TRAN Allex | V D D V | V D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 29 | BASTODKAR Ved | V D D | V D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 30 | MARTIN Wesley | V D V | D | 0.5 | 2 | +1.5 |
| 31 | KWAN Victor | D D | V D | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| 32 | ZINSER James | D D D | V D | 0.4 | 0 | -0.4 |
| 33 | NEELIMANDHU Sahil | D V V V | D | 1.6 | 3 | +1.4 |
| 34 | GORDON Jack | V D | D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 36 | FEEHAN Conor | D D | D | 0.3 | 0 | -0.3 |
| 37 | THOMAS Carter | D V V | D | 1.3 | 2 | +0.7 |
| 38 | OSTFIELD Mati | D D V V | D | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| 40 | CRUZ Cole | D D | D | 0.1 | 0 | -0.1 |
| 41 | TORTORELLO Bear | D D | D | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| 43 | BUREAU Louis | D D | D | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| 46 | FERRARA Asher | V D V D | D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 50 | BELL Andrew | D D V D | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 54 | BOMGARDNER Ben | D D | D | 0.2 | 0 | -0.2 |
| 56 | UNGLAUB Maxwell | D V D D | V D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| 57 | ANDERSON Norse | D V D | D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 67 | YATES Graeme | D D D | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 | |
| 68 | CHRISTOPHER Louis | V D D | 0.4 | 1 | +0.6 | |
| 70 | BIEL Liev | V D D D | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 | |
| 73 | BLUMHARDT Evan | D D D | D | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| 82 | BENNETT Elijah | D D D D | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 | |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.