SPA Randolph Campus - Saint Paul, MN, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | HOWLAND Jonas | V V V | V V V V V | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 2 | NAIDL Josiah | V V V | V V V V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 3 | MCKINLEY Luke | V V V | V V V V D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 4 | LOCKWOOD Jacob | V V | V V V D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 5 | WAKEHAM Paul | V V | V V D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 6 | GIEBLER Lucas | V V | V V V D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 7 | BERSCHEID Arthur | V V | V V D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 7 | LINEBERRY Caden | V V | V V D | 0.7 | 2 | +1.3 |
| 9 | PHONPRASANSACK Grayson | V V V V | V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 10 | GLOVER George | V V | V V D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 11 | CROOM Tucker | V V | V D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 12 | WAKEHAM Timothy | V V V V | V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 13 | CAPERS Hunter | V V | V V D | 1.3 | 2 | +0.7 |
| 14 | BREWNER Ethan | V D V | V D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 15 | HUANG Kai | V D | V D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 15 | WEISS Quintin | D V | V V D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 17 | RUBY Asher | V D | D | 0.6 | 1 | +0.4 |
| 18 | TOEWS Jackson | D V V | D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 19 | MENASCO Juliun | V D | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 20 | WOJTALEWICZ Aiden | V D | D | 0.4 | 1 | +0.6 |
| 21 | ZEITLER Blake | V D V | V D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 21 | FOSTERVOLD Castiel | D V | D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 23 | GARSKE James | D D V | D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 24 | IBARRA Alejandro | V D | V D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 25 | AHNEMANN Leif | D V D | V D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 26 | HOKANSON Braddock | D D | D | 0.2 | 0 | -0.2 |
| 27 | WOODS Jarek | D D | V D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| 28 | TRAN Allex | V D D V | V D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 29 | BASTODKAR Ved | V D D | V D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 30 | MARTIN Wesley | V D V | D | 0.5 | 2 | +1.5 |
| 31 | KWAN Victor | D D | V D | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| 32 | ZINSER James | D D D | V D | 0.4 | 0 | -0.4 |
| 33 | NEELIMANDHU Sahil | D V V V | D | 1.6 | 3 | +1.4 |
| 34 | GORDON Jack | V D | D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 35 | REDWING III Thomas Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 36 | FEEHAN Conor | D D | D | 0.3 | 0 | -0.3 |
| 37 | THOMAS Carter | D V V | D | 1.3 | 2 | +0.7 |
| 38 | OSTFIELD Mati | D D V V | D | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| 39 | PABICH Noah Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 40 | CRUZ Cole | D D | D | 0.1 | 0 | -0.1 |
| 41 | TORTORELLO Bear | D D | D | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| 42 | PERES Elijah Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 43 | BUREAU Louis | D D | D | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| 44 | ZWEBER Ben Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 45 | CLICK Cole Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 46 | FERRARA Asher | V D V D | D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 47 | STELLPFLUG Zachary Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 48 | KRUEGER Benjamin Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 49 | BALDERES Gavin Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 50 | BELL Andrew | D D V D | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 51 | DRAWZ Chase Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 52 | SMITH Joseph Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 53 | LOCKHART Dakota Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 54 | BOMGARDNER Ben | D D | D | 0.2 | 0 | -0.2 |
| 55 | CALATAYUD Bronson Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 56 | UNGLAUB Maxwell | D V D D | V D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| 57 | ANDERSON Norse | D V D | D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 58 | DILLON Jack Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 59 | WILLIAMS Ethan Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 60 | FANG Ethan Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 61 | TREAT Sam Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 62 | CHRISTENSEN Jack Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 63 | SZNEWAJS Ben Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 64 | ROBERTS Calvin Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 65 | CROSON William (Billy) Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 66 | WANGDU Dorjee Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 67 | YATES Graeme | D D D | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 | |
| 68 | CHRISTOPHER Louis | V D D | 0.4 | 1 | +0.6 | |
| 69 | PEDERSON Owen Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 70 | BIEL Liev | V D D D | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 | |
| 71 | PEICHEL Joshua Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 72 | DEPIES Ben Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 73 | BLUMHARDT Evan | D D D | D | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| 74 | ROY Griffin Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 75 | SKIBELL Cyrus Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 76 | OBRIEN George Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 77 | CASEY Liam Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 78 | MOORE Angus Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 79 | BURROWS Aaron Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 79 | AHRENS Declan Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 81 | UNDERWOOD Dyllan Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 82 | BENNETT Elijah | D D D D | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 | |
| 83 | CHRAST Edward Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 83 | NWOKOCHA Obi Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 85 | BOWER Olly Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 86 | GUETTLER Soren Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.