BADAWI CHALLENGE RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Sunday, February 4, 2024 at 2:00 PM

Maverick Activity Center (MAC) - Arlington, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	SOOS Whitman	-	1%	9%	30%	41%	18%
2	DECKER Hunter	-	4%	19%	38%	31%	8%
3	ELHUSSEINI Dylan	-	-	-	-	5%	29%	66%
3	ELHUSSEINI Kyle	-	-	1%	9%	37%	53%
5	POHL Philip	1%	10%	33%	39%	16%	2%
6	HERNDON Liam	-	2%	11%	31%	39%	18%
7	WU Johnny y.	-	1%	8%	26%	38%	23%	3%
8	MANGAN Hunter	-	3%	14%	35%	35%	12%
9	VEERAVALLI Vivek	-	3%	14%	33%	35%	15%	1%
10	MULDOON Thomas	-	3%	15%	35%	35%	12%
11	HUANG Yidong Allen	-	2%	13%	33%	37%	15%
12	SANCHEZ IKER	-	2%	11%	32%	39%	17%
13	MEHROTRA Neel	-	1%	5%	22%	43%	28%
14	QIAN Irvine	-	3%	15%	35%	35%	12%
15	LI Tristan	1%	7%	24%	38%	25%	6%
16	SUMA Marvin	-	7%	25%	38%	25%	6%
17	PEREZ Daniel	2%	18%	37%	30%	11%	1%
18	GOODMAN Benjamin	3%	18%	37%	30%	10%	1%
19	OLSON Joseph	8%	32%	37%	18%	4%	-
20	VAN RIET Stefan	1%	6%	23%	37%	26%	7%	-
21	ROBERTS Arthur	2%	14%	37%	34%	12%	1%
22	KOSTUSIAK Evan	2%	20%	38%	29%	10%	1%
22	HASSOUN Pierre-Olivier	-	4%	20%	39%	31%	6%
24	SATHYAN Dev	23%	42%	27%	7%	1%	-
25	DADE Augustus	8%	35%	37%	16%	3%	-
26	KNYSH IURII	-	7%	30%	42%	18%	3%
27	KIM Leejay	35%	43%	18%	3%	-	-
28	ZHAN ETHAN	11%	35%	35%	15%	3%	-	-
29	PLUMMER Kellan	8%	30%	37%	20%	5%	-
30	NEWSOM Finn	3%	20%	37%	29%	10%	1%	-
31	YUE Bryan	14%	42%	32%	10%	1%	-
32	MODI Rohan	26%	41%	24%	7%	1%	-	-
33	ZHOU Max	31%	43%	21%	5%	-	-
34	VEERAVALLI Pranav	11%	34%	36%	16%	3%	-
35	LENORMAND Rayan	3%	15%	33%	32%	14%	2%
36	HUANG Ethan	62%	31%	6%	1%	-	-
37	LINDERS Jackson	47%	39%	12%	2%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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