The Virginia Tech Open

Div III Mixed Saber

Sunday, February 4, 2024 at 3:30 PM

VT RecSports Field House - Blacksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LYON Drew 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
2 MAHER Jason 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
3 STAM August M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
3 JACKSON Evan 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
5 LAUDO Joseph 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 54% 7%
6 ODBADRAKH Batu 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
7 ELIAN David 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 18% 2%
8 SEMP Brannon A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 31%
9 PHAM Matthew 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 8% 1%
10 FEIRA Justin 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 19% 1%
11 ROCHARDSON Payten 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 26% 3%
12 HUANG Zhilin 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 21% 2%
13 STEWART Brian 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
14 BAIN Tiernan 100% 98% 82% 42% 11% 1%
15 URIBE David 100% 98% 75% 31% 6% 1% -
16 SORRELL Allison 100% 100% 96% 72% 24% 3% -
17 OHASHI Jax 100% 91% 52% 14% 2% -
18 MELNIKOV Daniel 100% 98% 74% 25% 3% - -
19 WALKER Joseph 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% -
20 FRECK Erin 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
21 LEE Angela 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% -
22 LESTYAN Cat 100% 37% 6% 1% - - -
23 PRICE Jesse 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
24 BURGOA David 100% 99% 89% 57% 19% 1%
25 FOLK William 100% 85% 41% 10% 1% - -
26 THARRINGTON Samuel 100% 97% 66% 24% 4% - -
27 BARR Corinne 100% 63% 14% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.