Junior Olympics

Junior Men's Saber

Friday, February 16, 2024 at 3:00 PM

Charlotte, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JEFFORDS Alexander - - - 2% 12% 42% 45%
2 ATANASSOV Vasil V. - - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
3 KWALWASSER Eric - - - 1% 12% 41% 46%
3 KOGAN Ben - - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
5 SHOMAN Zachary - - - 1% 7% 35% 57%
6 SHOMAN Noah - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
7 PRIMUS Nazir - - - 2% 15% 42% 40%
8 LE Hayden - - 3% 18% 46% 33%
9 CHTERENTAL Alex - - 1% 8% 28% 44% 19%
10 FENG Leo - - - 2% 14% 41% 42%
10 LIM William J. - - - 1% 10% 41% 48%
12 HOLZ Daniel - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
13 GONZALEZ Emilio A. - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
14 BERRIO Carter E. - - - 2% 15% 41% 41%
15 LIANG Connor - - - 1% 7% 35% 57%
16 MARGULIES William - - 2% 11% 35% 42% 10%
17 LEE Aydan J. - - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
17 KUSHKOV Daniel - - 3% 15% 37% 35% 9%
19 YANG Ziyi - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
20 TONG ZACHARY - - - 5% 21% 43% 31%
21 CHOI HYUNSEOK - - - - 4% 28% 67%
22 LIN Daniel - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
23 HUANG Ethan F. - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
24 SUBBIAH Prashanth V. - - 1% 6% 24% 44% 25%
25 WOOD Elden S. - - - 6% 34% 59%
26 LIN Maxim - - 4% 20% 41% 29% 5%
27 GUFFEY Christopher - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 20%
28 SHIRPAL Oleksandr - - 2% 13% 33% 38% 13%
29 CHAN Matthew - - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
30 MICLAUS Justin - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
31 RAMANAN Jaisimh 1% 14% 39% 36% 10% 1%
32 GONG Jerry - 4% 21% 39% 28% 8% 1%
33 DENG Andrew - - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
34 CHAVES Matthew J. - - 2% 14% 34% 36% 13%
35 BABAYEV Gabriel A. - - - 3% 15% 40% 42%
36 SU Landon - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
37 HJERPE Wade H. - - 1% 6% 25% 44% 25%
38 MAY Griffin M. - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
39 BYON Julian - 1% 5% 23% 41% 26% 4%
40 WILSON Jude - - - 1% 10% 39% 51%
41 YANG Dylan - 1% 9% 28% 39% 20% 2%
42 HU Christopher - 1% 6% 25% 40% 25% 5%
43 KIM-COGAN Ryan - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 9%
44 PI Alexander - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
45 MAKLIN Edward P. - - 4% 19% 36% 31% 9%
45 PATIL Aaryan A. - - 1% 8% 30% 45% 17%
47 BOSITA Carson - 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 2%
48 ANTHONY Devyn V. - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 8%
49 SAVOY Luca - - 5% 22% 40% 28% 5%
49 REN James - - 2% 12% 33% 39% 15%
51 HOLZ William A. - - - 1% 11% 38% 49%
52 WANG Daniel - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 2%
53 CHON Collin - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
53 KIM Ethan - 1% 5% 22% 38% 28% 7%
55 LIU Kevin - 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
56 RIGHTLER Samuel - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
57 HUANG Alex F. - 1% 10% 34% 45% 11%
58 VAID Luke - 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4%
59 TAO Jeffrey - - 3% 16% 37% 35% 10%
60 LAU Justin Y. 2% 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% -
61 KILARI Krish - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 2%
62 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 14% 35% 32% 15% 4% - -
63 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 8%
64 CHABENAT Guillaume - 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
65 DHINGRA Gian K. - - - 1% 7% 33% 59%
66 WANG Nicolas - - - 1% 11% 39% 49%
67 GLOZMAN Justin - - 2% 14% 39% 37% 9%
68 KIM ELIJAH - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
69 QIU Nathan - - 2% 14% 35% 36% 12%
70 KIM Alexander M. - 1% 8% 29% 42% 20%
71 FRANCOIS Alexander C. 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
72 LI Yiwei - 2% 11% 29% 37% 19% 2%
73 NAZLYMOV Andrei - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 33%
73 SKINNER Graham B. - 1% 5% 18% 35% 33% 10%
75 NOBLE Daniel - - - 3% 17% 44% 36%
75 MCCARTHY Gabriel - - 1% 8% 29% 46% 17%
77 HOUTZ Jackson - - 1% 10% 32% 41% 15%
78 DENNER Maximilian P. - - - 2% 13% 42% 43%
79 ZUBATIY Samuel - - 1% 7% 26% 44% 22%
80 OH Triton - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
80 TIAGI Daniel 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
82 RASMUSSEN Alexzander C. - 1% 6% 24% 38% 25% 6%
83 PENG Bryan - - 2% 14% 35% 36% 13%
84 MATTOO Surya - - 4% 20% 39% 30% 6%
85 FERNANDEZ Rodrigo - - - 8% 47% 44%
85 CHOW William T. 1% 23% 43% 27% 6% -
87 AYDOGDU Hakan 30% 45% 22% 3% < 1% -
88 LUHAN Zachary - 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5%
89 KUMAR Sachit - - 5% 22% 39% 28% 6%
90 KANG Evan 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7% -
91 BONIFIELD Arthur G. - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 26%
91 VAROQUA Nalby 2% 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
93 CHIN Matthew W. - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 9%
93 CHEONG Heonjun - - - 3% 21% 54% 22%
95 SCHARDINE James - 1% 10% 32% 37% 18% 3%
96 UEMOTO Ken 1% 23% 41% 27% 7% 1% -
97 YE Eric - - 2% 16% 40% 34% 8%
98 AKS Ari - 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
99 PINTO Marcus - 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
99 YAN Kevin - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
101 STONE Esmond A. - - 4% 21% 39% 30% 7%
102 LUO George F. - - 3% 15% 32% 35% 15%
103 POFF Kainoa 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
104 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. - - - - 5% 38% 57%
104 KALPATHY Rohit - 1% 8% 28% 41% 20% 2%
106 JOO Jeein - - 2% 14% 34% 36% 13%
107 DEPEW Spencer - - 3% 15% 37% 37% 8%
108 BOULAIS Andrew D. 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
109 SO Hananiah - - 1% 12% 51% 36%
109 ZHAO Zhiyu(Yogi) - 9% 34% 40% 15% 2%
111 CHEN Jonathan 2% 19% 40% 29% 8% 1%
112 SAHAY Kenji - 1% 6% 24% 39% 26% 5%
113 PASTORE LIU Vince - 1% 11% 33% 37% 17% 2%
114 DECK Tyson - 1% 10% 34% 42% 12% 1%
114 RADY-PENTEK Charles A. - 1% 10% 31% 39% 16% 2%
116 CHAN Henry 3% 29% 41% 21% 5% 1% -
117 ZENG Noah - - 2% 14% 36% 37% 11%
117 WANG Justin - 3% 18% 38% 31% 10% 1%
119 HONG Steven - - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
120 KATZ Ryan 1% 8% 24% 36% 24% 6% 1%
121 ANDRES Michael - 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1%
122 DOWNEY Baran 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
123 GHAYALOD ansh - 1% 8% 29% 42% 20%
124 HO Anson 5% 38% 41% 15% 2% -
125 HOTHA Nikhil 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
126 BARRIOS Diego 1% 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
127 COOK Cole - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
128 FIELDS Matthew S. - 1% 8% 28% 39% 22% 4%
129 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. - - 3% 21% 48% 28%
130 BAE Jason I. - - - 3% 18% 42% 36%
131 LEE Andrew - 3% 25% 40% 25% 6% 1%
132 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. - 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
133 XU William - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
134 DUDNICK Christian 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
135 WANG William 1% 11% 31% 35% 17% 4% -
136 CARRINGTON IV William T. - 5% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
137 ZEWDA Kebron - 3% 15% 36% 32% 12% 1%
138 BYON Adrian - - 3% 18% 41% 32% 7%
139 LINDHOLM Oliver S. - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
140 FOX Gavin - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
141 ERMAKOV Semeon - 1% 8% 26% 39% 22% 3%
142 HUANG Tom - 2% 12% 33% 36% 16% 2%
142 BHATIA Ekam 2% 20% 42% 28% 8% 1% -
144 LEE Noah - 2% 16% 35% 33% 13% 2%
145 ALMEDA Stanislav 3% 34% 42% 18% 3% - -
146 HUANG Alexander C. - 4% 22% 39% 27% 7% 1%
146 STURN Oliver - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
146 WANG Max 1% 16% 41% 33% 9% 1% -
149 SHANKWILER Christopher - 1% 6% 23% 40% 26% 5%
149 ANAND Rohan 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5% -
151 BRANDT Jaden - 3% 13% 31% 34% 16% 2%
151 SUGIURA Samuel 1% 10% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
153 MUNGUIA Nathan - 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 1%
153 SUBA Lucas 17% 40% 31% 10% 2% - -
155 KAKEHI Nicholas B. - 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
156 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. - - - 4% 19% 44% 32%
157 PIWOWAR Alex - - 5% 21% 39% 28% 7%
158 PAN Alex - - 1% 8% 29% 44% 17%
159 MEDVEDEV Michail D. - 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
160 RADJABLI Maximillian 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
161 NGUYEN Anthony 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6% -
162 NGO Maximus 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1% -
163 MCCARTHY Devan 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
164 SOWERS Samuel - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
165 PATEL Rayn 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
166 GINSBERG Jordan - 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 3%
167 YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) - 2% 16% 41% 31% 9% 1%
167 LIN Felix 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
169 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. - 1% 16% 37% 33% 11% 1%
169 HWANG Jayden - 1% 5% 20% 39% 30% 6%
171 HERNANDEZ Stanton - 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
172 HALL Noah 1% 11% 33% 36% 16% 3% -
172 KIM Theodore 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
174 CHUNG Connor - 3% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2%
174 WAGNER Elijah 18% 44% 30% 8% 1% - -
176 WEINBERG Harry 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
177 SHANKAR Karthik - 13% 36% 35% 13% 2% -
178 DELARUE NELSON Y. - - 4% 18% 37% 33% 8%
178 RAMANAN Govind - 1% 9% 27% 38% 22% 4%
180 WANG Zhuoyi 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
181 GONZALEZ Jake - 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
182 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH - 2% 24% 40% 26% 7% 1%
183 CRAIG Samuel - - 4% 18% 37% 31% 9%
183 DALAL Rohan - 5% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
185 ATWOOD Griffin - 6% 25% 39% 24% 5% -
186 HO Jacob 3% 25% 40% 25% 6% 1% -
187 KIM Kendrick 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
188 HUBLALL Ethan 2% 14% 33% 33% 16% 3% -
189 GOLDIN Lucca 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
190 POSY Daniel 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
190 WANG HongXi 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
192 LEE Anderson 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
192 SO Preston - 2% 15% 36% 33% 12% 1%
194 CUSUMANO Neal 3% 26% 42% 24% 5% - -
195 HILL Quillan 17% 37% 31% 12% 3% - -
196 YADAV Lakshya 3% 23% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
197 MARGULIS Jared 18% 40% 30% 10% 2% - -
198 ZHANG Derek - 3% 18% 40% 31% 8%
199 EYBELMAN Ariel 1% 18% 43% 30% 7% 1%
200 HORNE Jamison 13% 42% 34% 10% 1% -
201 KROON Lucas 1% 10% 35% 43% 10% 1%
202 NG Jonathan - 2% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
203 MATTOO Deven 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
204 ZHAO Lucas - 4% 19% 38% 29% 9% 1%
205 DESAUTELS Connor 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3% -
206 WONG Lucas 6% 27% 41% 21% 4% - -
207 DIMATTEO Michael 2% 21% 40% 28% 8% 1% -
207 SUN Ziyao 3% 29% 40% 22% 6% 1% -
207 JENSBY Jason 6% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
210 ZLATINSKI Jason 17% 40% 32% 10% 1% - -
211 TSAO Oliver 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3% -
212 YAN William - 4% 19% 36% 29% 9% 1%
212 SIDDIQUI Shayan - 2% 13% 33% 35% 14% 2%
212 RODRIGUEZ Erik 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
215 ZHOU William 8% 32% 38% 19% 4% - -
216 KOGAN Nikita 6% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
217 CAISSE Simon B. - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
218 LIM Brandon 14% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
219 HERRERA aragon 2% 18% 39% 30% 9% 1% -
219 TIAGI George - 7% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
221 HUNG Samuel 7% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
221 DENBROEDER Ronald (Mackie) 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
221 YERRAMILLI Tejas - 4% 18% 37% 31% 9% 1%
224 TUNG Ryan 9% 34% 37% 16% 4% - -
225 MONTALVO Emmeric 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% 1% -
226 O'LOUGHLIN Quinlan 3% 29% 46% 19% 3% - -
227 GREENBAUM Ian L. - 1% 7% 24% 38% 26% 5%
228 COUNTS Nicholas 16% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
229 WALKE Devin 6% 27% 40% 22% 5% - -
230 GUREVICH Savely 10% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
231 HOLZ Lucas 1% 19% 40% 29% 9% 1% -
231 DUMOULIN Gabriel 1% 10% 32% 38% 17% 3% -
231 FERGUSON Constantine 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
234 MUNGOVAN Matthew 4% 23% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
234 BOLLU Viren 14% 36% 34% 14% 2% - -
236 VEDRE Neil 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
237 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas - 10% 35% 39% 14% 1% -
237 LIN Lucas 20% 43% 29% 7% 1% - -
239 FANG Eason 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1% -
240 AUTREY Adrien 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
241 PARCELL Colby 42% 41% 15% 2% - - -
242 TAN Ryan 8% 41% 39% 11% 1% - -
243 LIGH Checed 15% 39% 34% 11% 2% - -
244 AHLMAN Jason 22% 63% 14% 1% - - -
245 CHOKSI Vihaan 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
246 BONSELL Vance 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
247 ZHENG LEON 3% 18% 37% 31% 11% 1% -
247 KOTVALI Aneesh 56% 35% 8% 1% - - -
249 KESSLER Josh 12% 39% 37% 11% 1% -
250 CHINWAH Kaden 2% 22% 43% 27% 6% -
251 VENU Ram 14% 40% 35% 10% 1% -
252 HENDERSON Jack 49% 40% 10% 1% - -
253 LESUEUR Luke J. - 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
253 KOGAN Yelisey L. 22% 41% 28% 8% 1% - -
255 LICHTERMAN Jakub 30% 44% 21% 4% - - -
256 LIN Philip T. 3% 16% 32% 31% 14% 3% -
257 WEN Edward 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
258 NOURELDIN Gabriel 1% 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
258 KO Zuriel - 13% 37% 35% 13% 2% -
260 REHM Liam 13% 47% 31% 8% 1% - -
261 PARKILA Lukas 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
262 CRAIN Bennett 25% 44% 25% 6% 1% - -
263 RYAN Kai 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
264 CHAN Aidan 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3% -
264 WANG Michael 4% 35% 41% 17% 3% - -
266 SHAHZAD Azlan A. - 1% 6% 24% 38% 26% 6%
266 MEADE Liam R. 44% 44% 11% 1% - - -
268 BARROWS Hunter 26% 58% 15% 1% - - -
269 HUANG Connor - 3% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1%
269 PATNAIK Eshaan 11% 39% 35% 13% 2% - -
271 HE Bowen 5% 32% 40% 18% 4% - -
272 DOLEV Ido 24% 44% 25% 6% 1% - -
273 GAUVEY Kieran 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
273 LI Seth 11% 35% 35% 16% 4% - -
273 THOMAS Texas 18% 43% 30% 8% 1% - -
276 WAXLER Ryan 9% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
276 FARIDI Imran 4% 27% 42% 23% 5% - -
278 TSAI Michael T. 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
278 PERRY Gwydion 40% 46% 13% 2% - - -
280 RAMTEKKAR Soham 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 2% -
281 GUREVICH Benjamin 12% 32% 34% 17% 5% 1% -
281 XU Ivan 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
283 BENSON Jacob 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
284 SCHIMEL Luke 59% 35% 6% - - - -
285 LASKOW Oliver 28% 51% 18% 3% - - -
286 SAMMI Mukul 4% 20% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
286 SEELMAN Cole 75% 22% 2% - - - -
288 BROWN Oscar 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
289 KESSLER Nathan 5% 29% 39% 21% 5% 1% -
290 DUPREE Thomas 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5% -
291 FRUTH Evan 35% 42% 18% 4% - - -
292 RAMANI Ari 82% 17% 1% - - - -
293 ZHANG Ethan W. 4% 18% 34% 29% 13% 2% -
293 MARKOWITZ Jonathan 32% 44% 20% 4% - - -
295 SEETHAMRAJU Pranay 64% 31% 5% - - - -
295 VO Landon 29% 49% 19% 3% - - -
297 BURKE Sam 80% 19% 2% - - -
298 RIDEOUT aiden 94% 6% - - - - -
299 SHIM Tristan 75% 23% 2% - - -
300 MOL Justin 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
300 STRUCKER Rocco 40% 43% 14% 2% - - -
300 BECHTEL Trent 25% 44% 25% 6% 1% - -
300 JOHNSON Eli 50% 39% 9% 1% - - -
300 POWER Alex 18% 41% 31% 9% 1% - -
300 GILMARTIN Colin 3% 21% 39% 28% 8% 1% -
306 GOGNA Rehan 42% 41% 15% 3% - - -
306 GOEDDEKE Brendan 67% 28% 4% - - - -
306 WEBB Kian 76% 22% 2% - - - -
306 WEI William 40% 42% 15% 3% - - -
306 HAYES David 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
311 KOMERAVELLI Rushil 64% 31% 5% - - - -
311 FREILICH Harrison 81% 17% 1% - - - -
313 PRICE Charles 61% 32% 6% 1% - - -
314 TSAO Alister 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
314 ZHOU Alan 57% 38% 5% - - - -
314 RAVOOR Sahas 86% 13% 1% - - - -
317 NETHERTON Jack 66% 31% 2% - - - -
317 DRIPPS Parker 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.