Music City Series #1

Div III Mixed Foil

Sunday, September 22, 2019 at 4:30 PM

Music City Fencing Club - Nashville, TN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 UPTON Craig 100% 100% 98% 83% 36% 4%
2 ZHAO Dylan L. 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 5%
3 PALMAFFY Sean 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 21%
3 LIM Samuel 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 17%
5 LEYLAND John 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 11%
6 HEARN Christen J. 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 28% 6%
7 CURTIS William K. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
8 COVER Harrison 100% 100% 93% 70% 34% 7%
9 BATSON Kaleookalani J. 100% 100% 97% 80% 47% 15% 2%
10 PIRAINO Robert C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
11 PANTIN Dominique L. 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 9% 1%
12 BAKER Julian L. 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% -
13 DE COQUET Maximilian 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8% -
14 LIM Joshua 100% 99% 72% 28% 5% -
15 EDWARDS Darby 100% 97% 83% 55% 24% 6% 1%
16 JONES Nate 100% 100% 96% 73% 30% 4%
17 COLLUM Thomas 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3%
18 SUERSTEDT Haydn 100% 90% 55% 17% 2% -
19 PALMAFFY Sophia 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 1%
20 LIM Joel 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 11%
21 AMMON Blue 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 3%
22 PALMAFFY Duncan 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
23 GRAY Martha R. 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
23 USELTON Kaden 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
23 BURT Stephen 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2% -
26 BRAINERD Jim 100% 73% 26% 4% - -
27 GIRGIS Isaiah 100% 96% 67% 23% 3% -
28 TUGGY Candise 100% 86% 49% 16% 2% -
29 GUKASOVA Anastasia 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
30 SORRELLS Brea 100% 44% 9% 1% - -
31 GUHA Maya 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
32 LANDMAN Charlotte 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.