MFA Y8, Y10, Y12, Senior (unrated only) - All foil event

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Sunday, February 18, 2024 at 12:00 PM

Marin Fencing Academy - San Rafael, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WEI Winston 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 1%
2 LI Alice 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 14%
3 GUO Joey 100% 100% 99% 86% 48% 11%
3 XU Ethan 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 16%
5 MIYOSHI Kylie 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
6 HSU Rachel 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
7 HSIAO Ariya 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3%
8 LEE Abigail 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
9 SHEN Alaric 100% 100% 96% 74% 30% 1%
10 YU Jinyuan 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
11 KO Ian 100% 99% 92% 64% 25% 4%
12 FISCHER Grant 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
13 CHEN Ryker 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 30%
13 ARYA Leela 100% 96% 72% 30% 5% -
15 LIN Avery 100% 100% 92% 63% 24% 4%
16 WONG Connor 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8%
17 CHOI William 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% -
18 LEONG Wilson Hua 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 38%
19 CHU Lauren 100% 100% 92% 62% 24% 4%
20 LI Sophia 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
21 AHN Hayley 100% 87% 52% 17% 2% -
22 KAJITA Grayson 100% 100% 94% 67% 23% 1%
23 FINGERMAN Jackson 100% 99% 92% 66% 26% 3%
24 SHEN Gloria 100% 99% 85% 51% 17% 2%
25 HONDA Emi 100% 90% 40% 7% 1% -
26 ALVAREZ Francisco Janusz 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 8%
27 LI Audrey 100% 90% 56% 21% 4% -
28 NGUYEN Nolan 100% 95% 58% 14% 1% -
29 DUPUIS Hadrien 100% 98% 85% 49% 13% 1%
30 DURBIN Libby 100% 93% 64% 25% 5% -
31 HSU Liam 100% 54% 14% 2% - -
32 ZALTZMAN Maya 100% 91% 54% 18% 3% - -
33 KO Cameron 100% 88% 53% 17% 3% -
34 ALNAGGAR Ali 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -
35 GU Evan 100% 59% 17% 2% - -
36 STERNAD Pia 100% 55% 7% - - -
37 BASTUNAS Marissa 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.