MFA Friday Night Epee (Senior Open)

Senior Mixed Épée

Friday, February 23, 2024 at 7:00 PM

Marin Fencing Academy - San Rafael, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NICHOLSON Dimitri E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
2 TONG Samuel 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
3 YUEN Nathan 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 27% 3%
3 NIKIFOROV Timofei 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4%
5 SITTER Gregoire 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
6 LI Yunji (Rain) 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
7 ACKERMANN Richard 100% 98% 82% 49% 16% 2%
8 GUO Woody 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1%
9 BECK Brian C. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
10 LIU Benjamin 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% 1%
11 MOLLINIER Angel 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11% 1%
12 CONTI Braeden 100% 94% 66% 28% 7% 1% -
13 PERALTA Christian 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
14 CHAO Warren 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 6%
15 PRAKASH Hari 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
16 MCGUIRE Maximilien 100% 58% 17% 3% - -
17 PIVOVAROV Lucas 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
18 LUONG Allen 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 26% 3%
19 STOREY Liam 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% -
20 LIPTON Michael D. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
21 DILEEP Roshan 100% 94% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
22 BREKSA Lyndsey K. 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
23 TAGKOPOULOS Pagkratios 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% -
24 LIN Shenghai 100% 74% 29% 5% - - -
25 LOUIE Joseph 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
26 BURGSTONE Benjamin 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1%
27 SLOAN Ryan 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
28 LIN Jason 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
29 CHEW Aedan 100% 94% 66% 26% 3% - -
30 LOGUE Paul 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 1%
31 HOROWITZ David S. 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
32 SITTER Keano 100% 83% 42% 10% 1% - -
33 PERALTA Christian 100% 58% 17% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.