2nd Annual Bruce Capin Memorial Brawl

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, February 24, 2024 at 9:00 AM

Southwest Recreation Center - Gainesville, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HANDBERG Paul 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 56%
2 IRWIN Peter 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 53%
3 CLAYTON Robert 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
3 VAN NIMWEGEN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52% 10%
5 CHENG Thomas 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 59%
6 KYPRAIOS Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 32%
7 GELNAW William (Gypsy) 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 25%
8 OH Hakjae 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 5% -
9 FERNLUND Helen 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 9% 1%
10 CHO Justin 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 39% 9%
11 DINKINS Adam 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 14% 1%
12 RODDENBERRY Steven 100% 99% 85% 48% 14% 2% -
13 WEDDLE Carson 100% 100% 99% 89% 48% 10% 1%
14 DAVIS Jonah 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 15%
15 SHIVELY Cole 100% 98% 86% 59% 26% 6% 1%
16 LANGUASCO Michael 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 2%
17 FREY Wayne 100% 100% 100% 94% 65% 16%
18 MCFARLAND John 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 4%
19 RASSEL John 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%
20 DINKINS Zahrah 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5%
21 HUSZAR Sara 100% 98% 85% 50% 16% 2%
22 SLOTER Lewis 100% 99% 91% 62% 21% 3%
23 DAVIS Kelly 100% 100% 97% 84% 58% 25% 5%
24 ADIBZADEH Mehrdad 100% 99% 71% 24% 3% -
25 NARANJO Andrew 100% 98% 81% 35% 6% -
26 BEATTY Thomas 100% 99% 83% 41% 7% -
27 PHAM Hailey 100% 77% 29% 4% - - -
27 LEE Andrew 100% 97% 77% 40% 12% 2% -
29 SKRYPEK Alan 100% 96% 73% 33% 7% 1% -
30 KARPF Jonah 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
31 GRIFFITHS Wesley 100% 74% 30% 6% 1% -
32 BOLLE Elijah 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
33 CHINAMGARI Arjun 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
34 GUADAMUZ Cesar 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 4% -
35 VENZON Roy 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
36 DOAN Dylan 100% 88% 53% 19% 3% - -
37 PRATER Andrew 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 4%
38 PEREVORUKHOV Ivan 100% 100% 93% 33% 4% - -
39 COLLINS Hannah 100% 71% 23% 1% - - -
39 PABON NAVARRO Joseph 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17% 1%
41 CULLEN Reilly 100% 75% 30% 6% - -
42 CLARK Nicole 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
43 WHITLEY Alexis 100% 90% 47% 6% - - -
44 DAVIS Elisabeth 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
45 DOSS matthew 100% 98% 80% 42% 12% 2% -
46 DAVIS Shanna 100% 25% 2% - - -
47 AGEE Brendon 100% 70% 27% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.