The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Take Action

February Fenceathon

Y-10 Mixed Foil

Saturday, February 24, 2024 at 12:45 PM

The Fencing Center of San Jose - san jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 EVANS Desmond - - - 6% 30% 44% 20%
2 SHEN Gloria - 1% 5% 17% 34% 32% 11%
3 HO Cameron - 3% 16% 36% 33% 12% 1%
3 LIN Avery - 1% 8% 23% 34% 26% 8%
5 NICOLETTI Thea - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
6 LI Yunze - - - 4% 20% 44% 32%
7 LIU Mia - - - 2% 18% 52% 28%
8 LI Aaron - 1% 12% 39% 36% 11% 1%
9 SUN Lucas - - 7% 39% 44% 9% -
10 SHENOY Neil - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
11 ZHANG Charlie - - 1% 9% 34% 41% 15%
12 LUO Olivia 4% 24% 40% 25% 6% 1% -
13 LEUNG Joon - 1% 7% 25% 40% 24% 3%
14 CHOI Aaron 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4% -
15 LIN Dylan 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
16 GU Evan 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
17 DONG Nancy 21% 52% 22% 4% < 1% - -
18 LI Mason 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% - -
19 XU Benjamin - 5% 32% 42% 19% 3% -
20 LI Ethan 21% 40% 28% 9% 2% - -
21 VIEN Bradley - 3% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1%
22 SHU Kayla 18% 42% 31% 9% 1% - -
23 CHENG Avery 3% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
24 SHAO Tysen - 1% 5% 17% 34% 32% 12%
25 ZHAI Muyan - 2% 17% 41% 33% 7% -
26 LUO Derren 17% 45% 31% 7% - - -
27 KHANAL Sarah 49% 40% 9% 1% - - -
28 SUN Suri 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.