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Bay Cup at AFM-SUN: Y10WF4, Y10MF4, Y12WF4, Y12MF4

Y-12 Women's Foil

Sunday, May 26, 2019 at 8:30 AM

AFM Sunnyvale - Sunnyvale, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5
1	PANT Anisha	100%	100%	100%	95%	63%
2	SUN Ruoxi	100%	100%	100%	99%	90%	51%
3	UMAP Arna	100%	99%	89%	55%	15%
3	DAVIS Bonnie Z.	100%	100%	100%	99%	86%	34%
5	LEE Bethanie	100%	100%	100%	99%	89%	43%
6	WELBORN Calissa	100%	96%	65%	23%	3%
7	SUN Chienyu	100%	100%	95%	68%	15%
8	WANG Zoie Z.	100%	100%	96%	73%	28%
9	FUNG Emma	100%	100%	99%	80%	37%	6%
10	ZHEREBCHEVSKA Veronika	100%	100%	96%	66%	23%	2%
11	MANN Sophia J.	100%	90%	50%	10%	-
12	MANIKTALA Prisha	100%	98%	84%	47%	9%	1%
13	BARRON Isabella	100%	100%	95%	71%	29%	3%
14	NICKOLOV Nora	100%	86%	47%	12%	1%	-
15	DAYAL Saahira	100%	59%	15%	1%	-
16	ZHENG Zoe	100%	86%	43%	8%	-
17	FUNG Vera	100%	33%	5%	-	-
18	CHU Camille	100%	77%	34%	6%	-	-
19	YANG Chloee	100%	42%	5%	-	-	-
20	NAIR Supriya	100%	98%	79%	37%	7%
21	LIN Katherine Y.	100%	87%	48%	12%	1%	-
21	ENRILE Erica	100%	79%	24%	3%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.