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Athens Winter Challenge 2024

E & Under Mixed Épée

Sunday, February 25, 2024 at 2:00 PM

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Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 KRIEGER Jack - 2% 16% 44% 31% 7%
2 PAKULATH Nihal 1% 13% 33% 34% 15% 2%
3 SOTTILE Cole - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
3 HAWKINS Sophia 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1%
5 CORLEY Avery - - 2% 16% 43% 39%
6 ROBERTS Quinton 7% 30% 41% 19% 3% -
7 REDDY Daksh 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3%
8 MACKEVICIUS Nykolas 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
9 YANG Maximus - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
10 ARZT Nicholas 3% 17% 32% 31% 14% 3%
11 MOSS Riley 6% 27% 40% 22% 5% -
12 SCHUYLER Benjamin 5% 26% 44% 23% 3%
13 LE Daniel - 1% 9% 40% 51%
14 LAWSON Cavin 35% 44% 18% 3% -
15 THOMAS Ethan 8% 27% 36% 23% 6% 1%
16 DUNKLIN Devon - 1% 11% 34% 41% 12%
17 BUREAU Logan - 5% 18% 34% 32% 12%
18 FERRARO Nicholas 8% 30% 38% 20% 4% -
19 ECKARD Melody 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% -
20 CORLEY Jessica - 5% 23% 39% 27% 6%
21 RIGSBEE Rachel 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1%
22 TUCKER Evan 14% 41% 35% 10% 1%
23 MEREDITH Jeffrey 7% 42% 38% 11% 1% -
24 KNOX Aidan 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4%
25 YANG Zhichen 1% 6% 25% 39% 25% 4%
26 WRIGHT Alex 2% 16% 38% 35% 10%
27 VALENZUELA Elijah 3% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
28 STEWART Sarah 47% 41% 11% 1% - -
29 HERNANDEZ Jocelyn 7% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.