William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | POLONI Giovanni | V V V V V | V V V V V | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| 2 | YU William | V V V V V | V V V V D | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| 3 | MOORHOUSE Emmett | V V V V V | V V V D | 2.8 | 5 | +2.2 |
| 3 | SMOLICH Marat | V V V V | V V V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 5 | HINDS David E. | V V D V V | V V D | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| 6 | AZIZI Zahl | V V D V V | V V D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 7 | FORMY DUVAL Christopher | D V V V V | V V D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 8 | HAYES Nathan P. | V V V D V | V V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 9 | PRICE Owen | V V V V V | V D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 10 | BOLTON Max | D V V V V | V D | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| 11 | HARPER Wesley | D V V V V | V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 12 | THAN Duc | V V D V V | V D | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| 13 | REEDER Nicholas W. | V D V V V | V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 14 | ZIMSKY James | V V V D | V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 15 | EDRALIN II Chadwick Q. | D V V V D | V D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| 16 | FERGUSON Sam C. | V D V V D | V D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 17 | ALTON Abigail | V D D V V | D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 18 | MAHNKEN Thomas P. | V D V D V | D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 19 | KASPER Lucia | V D V D V | D | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| 20 | TANG Justin | V V D V D | D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 21 | IVATURI Sivakrishna | V D D V V | D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 22 | DELANNES-MOLKA Daniel | D D V V | D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 23 | LIN Janice | D V V D D | D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 23 | DEVINNEY Dale | V D V D D | V D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 25 | TERPENNING Sarah | V V D D D | V D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 26 | FEAGIN Patrick | D V V D D | V D | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| 27 | BAYLESS Varnum | V D D D | V D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 28 | MAHNKEN Thomas G. | D D D V D | V D | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| 29 | CONANT Aidan | D V D D D | V D | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| 30 | HOPSON Ethan | D D V D D | V D | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| 31 | SAE-TUNG Kevin | D D D D V | V D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 32 | STEFFENSEN Lily | D D D D D | V D | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| 33 | SNELL Angelina | V D D D V | D | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| 34 | SINGH Jawand | D D D V D | D | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| 35 | SINGH Meet | D D V D D | D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 36 | LAU-ALLEN Macy | D V D D D | D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 37 | CARLEY Aubrey | D D D D D | D | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| 38 | SAY Preston | D D D D | D | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| 39 | GIBSON Karino | D D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| 40 | MOORE Annette | D D D D D | D | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| 41 | ALLEN Lily | D D D D D | D | 0.3 | 0 | -0.3 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.