The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Jason Liu and (2) Abdel Salem.

Take Action

Event Results

Div III Mixed Foil

W&M Conomikes-Gutenburg Memorial OpenSurprise Map

Sunday, February 25, 2024 at 1:00 PM William & Mary Adair Gym · Williamsburg, VA, USA
41 finishers
Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength
Birth year

Outcome Surprises

Legend

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 POLONI Giovanni V V V V V V V V V V 3.7 5 +1.3
2 YU William V V V V V V V V V D 4.2 5 +0.8
3 MOORHOUSE Emmett V V V V V V V V D 2.8 5 +2.2
3 SMOLICH Marat V V V V V V V D 3.2 4 +0.8
5 HINDS David E. V V D V V V V D 4.3 4 -0.3
6 AZIZI Zahl V V D V V V V D 3.8 4 +0.2
7 FORMY DUVAL Christopher D V V V V V V D 3.8 4 +0.2
8 HAYES Nathan P. V V V D V V V D 3.9 4 +0.1
9 PRICE Owen V V V V V V D 4.4 5 +0.6
10 BOLTON Max D V V V V V D 2.2 4 +1.8
11 HARPER Wesley D V V V V V D 3.9 4 +0.1
12 THAN Duc V V D V V V D 2.2 4 +1.8
13 REEDER Nicholas W. V D V V V V D 2.9 4 +1.1
14 ZIMSKY James V V V D V D 2.5 3 +0.5
15 EDRALIN II Chadwick Q. D V V V D V D 3.6 3 -0.6
16 FERGUSON Sam C. V D V V D V D 2.4 3 +0.6
17 ALTON Abigail V D D V V D 2.7 3 +0.3
18 MAHNKEN Thomas P. V D V D V D 3.1 3 -0.1
19 KASPER Lucia V D V D V D 1.8 3 +1.2
20 TANG Justin V V D V D D 2.6 3 +0.4
21 IVATURI Sivakrishna V D D V V D 2.7 3 +0.3
22 DELANNES-MOLKA Daniel D D V V D 2.0 2 -
23 LIN Janice D V V D D D 1.7 2 +0.3
23 DEVINNEY Dale V D V D D V D 1.7 2 +0.3
25 TERPENNING Sarah V V D D D V D 1.7 2 +0.3
26 FEAGIN Patrick D V V D D V D 3.4 2 -1.4
27 BAYLESS Varnum V D D D V D 1.4 1 -0.4
28 MAHNKEN Thomas G. D D D V D V D 2.7 1 -1.7
29 CONANT Aidan D V D D D V D 2.7 1 -1.7
30 HOPSON Ethan D D V D D V D 2.4 1 -1.4
31 SAE-TUNG Kevin D D D D V V D 0.8 1 +0.2
32 STEFFENSEN Lily D D D D D V D 0.5 0 -0.5
33 SNELL Angelina V D D D V D 1.5 2 +0.5
34 SINGH Jawand D D D V D D 2.5 1 -1.5
35 SINGH Meet D D V D D D 1.6 1 -0.6
36 LAU-ALLEN Macy D V D D D D 0.8 1 +0.2
37 CARLEY Aubrey D D D D D D 1.8 0 -1.8
38 SAY Preston D D D D D 0.9 0 -0.9
39 GIBSON Karino D D D D D D 1.1 0 -1.1
40 MOORE Annette D D D D D D 1.6 0 -1.6
41 ALLEN Lily D D D D D D 0.3 0 -0.3

Legend

Color Outcome Difficulty Win Probability
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%