William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | XU Ivan | V V V V V V | V V V V V | 4.8 | 6 | +1.2 |
| 2 | JACKSON Evan | V V V V V V | V V V V D | 4.5 | 6 | +1.5 |
| 3 | SUTHERLAND Jr. Richard L. | V V V V V D | V V V D | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| 3 | BENE Andrew | D D D V V V | V V V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 5 | BIALIK Noah | V V V V D | V V D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 6 | OTT William | D D V V D V | V V D | 1.7 | 3 | +1.3 |
| 7 | BARROSO Isabela | V D D V V D | V V D | 1.3 | 3 | +1.7 |
| 8 | PARCELL Colby | D V D D D V | V V D | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| 9 | TEEL Kevin C. | V V V V D V | V D | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 |
| 10 | KIRCHMAIER Charlie | V V D V V | V D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 11 | KENNEDY Aidan | D V V V D D | V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 12 | MITCHELL Matthew | V D V D V D | V D | 4.8 | 3 | -1.8 |
| 13 | WALKER Terra | V D D D V | V D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 14 | SU Ji | V D D V D D | V D | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| 15 | FLEEGER Sophia | D D V D D | V D | 0.5 | 1 | +0.5 |
| 16 | WALLACE Leo | V D D D D D | V D | 2.9 | 1 | -1.9 |
| 17 | CAYABAN Jessica | V V V V D V | D | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| 18 | STAM August M. | V V V D V V | D | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
| 19 | LAUDO Joseph | D V D V V V | D | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| 20 | DREHER Matthew | V D V D V V | D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 21 | FEIRA Justin | D V V V V D | D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 22 | NI Hao | V D V D V | D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 23 | PHAM Matthew | V D D V V D | D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 24 | WILFRET Katerina | D D D V V V | D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 25 | URIBE David | V D V V D D | D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 26 | FENG Brendan | D V V D D V | D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 27 | CONANT Aidan | D D D D V V | D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 28 | ABU-AJAJ Mohamed | D V D D V D | D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| 29 | BRAMLETT Myer | D V D V D D | D | 1.1 | 2 | +0.9 |
| 30 | ROCHARDSON Payten | D D D V D | D | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| 31 | LAWLESS Elizabeth | D D V D D D | V D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 32 | FANG Darcy | D D D D V D | V D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 33 | LESTYAN Cat | D D D D D D | D | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| 34 | BARR Corinne | D D D D D D | D | 0.2 | 0 | -0.2 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.