March NAC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Friday, March 1, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Oregon Convention Center - Portland, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHANG XUANYI 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
2 HUAI Delilah 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
3 LIU Yifei 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
3 FAVO Isabella 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
5 PANTALEON-MAZOLA Amari 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 13%
6 CHAVAN Arya 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 29%
7 BERMAN greta 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 36%
8 GAUTAM Sahana 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 37%
9 SCHMIDT Isabel 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50%
9 AWAD Royce 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 42% 5%
11 ARNOLD Hali 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
12 MALEK Zolie 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31%
13 GONZALEZ Veronika 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 27% 4%
14 KURAEVA Vasilisa 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 13%
15 KINKADE Ellie 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
16 FOSS Persephone 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
17 SENOGLU Irmak 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 46%
18 HAMMERSTROM Aria 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
19 WANG Callie 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 37%
20 SHEARER Alena 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 37% 6%
20 LEE Alyson 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 35% 5%
20 LI Sonia 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
23 FERNANDEZ Martina 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 45%
24 GOLDIN Nina 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 19%
25 YOUNG Charlotte G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 8%
26 CONG Anne 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 12%
27 LIU Kelly 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 5%
28 CHIARELLI Valentina 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
29 JIANG Evelyn 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
30 KAUL Tara 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 3% -
31 KIM Satie 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
32 ZHU TINGYI 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
33 CHAN Jolene 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 24%
34 DHAR Layla 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
35 DANTULURI Shalini 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 45%
36 VINOKUR Anita 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 6%
37 KANG Ellie 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
38 MUNGUIA Mila 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 6%
39 LIN Annika 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
40 LIN Elaine 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 30%
41 BUSH Bethany 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
42 HUGHES-WILLIAMS Adelayde 100% 100% 100% 93% 66% 20%
43 GUGALA Hanna 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 18%
44 KRIVOSHEEV Alexandra 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 20% 3%
45 MAK Kaitlin 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
46 ZENG Sarah 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
47 KU Alathea-Joy 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% -
47 NADKARNI Marisa 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
47 SINGER Ellery 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
50 TIAN Cynthia 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 5% -
51 HAN Emma 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
52 HSU Leah 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
53 STADNIK Emilia 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 21% 2%
53 GAIKWAD Ashmiee 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 28% 5%
55 SUNG Olivia 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
56 FAN Alexandria 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%
57 MOON Claire 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
58 YUEN Nicole 100% 99% 92% 62% 22% 3%
59 LEOU Korina 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
60 WEI JoyAnn 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
61 DHAR Rana 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
62 YAN Angela 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7% -
63 STONE Coral 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 18%
64 KWON Ava 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 4%
65 LOO Kaitlyn 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 9%
66 WANG Yixuan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
67 CHIANG Melissa 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 28%
68 LIU Hannah 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
69 WANG JiaQi 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9% 1%
70 LIU Hannah 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
71 ZHAI AMY 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 17% 2%
72 MERCHANT Aishwarya 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
73 BLAKE Anna 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 12% 1%
74 HU Anna 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 6%
75 BROWN Aria 100% 98% 84% 46% 13% 1%
76 FUNG Iris 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 3%
77 XU Elaine 100% 98% 78% 34% 6% -
78 CHOI Charlotte 100% 99% 90% 53% 15% 2%
79 WANG Jiayi 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14% 2%
79 KIM Audrey 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 5% -
81 VINOGOROVA Sofiia 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
82 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
83 FENG Alicia G. 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 2%
83 MOK Charlotte 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 30% 5%
85 ZHU Avril 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
86 KIRBY Skye 100% 73% 27% 5% - - -
87 PARK Haylie 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
87 LEMMEN Jasmijn 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
89 MAO Elsa 100% 79% 33% 7% 1% - -
90 WONG Natalie 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
91 HUANG Neila 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1%
91 KIM Saeren 100% 98% 84% 49% 16% 3% -
93 CHERON Helene 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
94 YU Skylar 100% 100% 96% 75% 34% 6% -
95 NGUYEN Summer 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 1%
96 GAY Sasha 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
97 MAO anna 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
98 REN Katherine 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
99 SUNG Isabella 100% 99% 91% 58% 18% 2%
100 TONG Laurie 100% 100% 94% 67% 24% 3%
101 CASTELO Soleil 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1%
102 BAERENWALD Welles 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
103 INSALACO Margo 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
104 WONG Charlene 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
105 SHEN Emily 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
106 KIM Karen 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% -
107 NIU Jessica 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 8% 1%
108 ZHU Elaine 100% 99% 88% 62% 28% 7% 1%
109 MACKAY Katherine 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
110 DOLEV Rony 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3% -
111 BORTAI Eliza 100% 89% 48% 11% 1% - -
112 ZHANG Ashley 100% 100% 94% 66% 26% 5% -
113 SENGUPTA Jia 100% 98% 84% 44% 12% 1% -
114 GONG Joy 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 2%
115 CHANG Annette 100% 99% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
116 LEE Kaitlin 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% - -
117 MISHEV Lila 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 9% 1%
118 CHOWDHERY Myra 100% 92% 59% 22% 5% - -
119 YU Stella 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% 1% -
120 WANG Tina 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% -
121 HSIEH Lucia 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
122 FLEEGER Sophia 100% 90% 53% 13% 2% - -
123 HO Sophia 100% 94% 66% 27% 5% - -
124 LU QIWEN 100% 53% 11% 1% - -
125 MEYERSON Michelle 100% 99% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
126 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% 1%
127 TA-ZHOU Sophia 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
128 WANG Emily 100% 60% 16% 2% - - -
129 OCA Merci 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
130 RAGHURAMAN Anishka 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 19% 2%
131 TISSONE Veronica 100% 97% 68% 28% 6% 1% -
132 BORGUETA Madison 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 8% 1%
133 MORINAGA Mirai 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
134 IREGUI Sofia 100% 61% 17% 2% - - -
135 ZAWADA Milena 100% 99% 88% 55% 18% 3% -
136 MEFFORD Isadora 100% 59% 16% 2% - - -
136 WANG Keira 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% - -
138 WANG MONA 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
139 CHANG Kaitlyn 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
140 SULLIVAN Madilyn R. 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
141 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous 100% 73% 24% 4% - - -
142 FEENER Paige 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% - -
143 HALPERN Athena 100% 76% 32% 7% 1% - -
144 LI Miranda 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1%
145 LAUREYNS Ainsley 100% 86% 44% 12% 1% -
146 LIU kai yin aria 100% 96% 73% 35% 8% 1%
146 MCCORMICK Karley 100% 42% 7% - - -
148 HU Heidi 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
149 CAI Joanna 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% -
150 DOSHI Anika 100% 86% 41% 8% 1% -
151 LEI Zitong (Meya) 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 7% 1%
152 GONG suri 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
153 LI Tiffany 100% 89% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
154 LEE Madeleine 100% 98% 83% 41% 10% 1% -
155 XIAÖ Cindy 100% 98% 84% 48% 14% 2% -
156 HEATH Isabella 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
157 LIANG Claire 100% 87% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
158 WONG Cerise 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
158 ZHANG Olivia 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% - -
160 CAI Veronica 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2% -
161 YE Isabella 100% 100% 97% 78% 39% 8% 1%
162 MERMEGAS Olivia 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4% -
163 KESSLER Amelia 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
164 JUNG Sienna 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
165 LONG Jessie 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% 1%
165 MAK Jayden 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
167 AKULOVA Eva 100% 63% 17% 2% - - -
168 DUFF Caitlin 100% 61% 21% 4% - - -
169 ROBBINS Adele 100% 85% 36% 7% - -
169 HENRY Erin 100% 46% 8% 1% - -
171 LIU Abigail 100% 65% 24% 5% 1% - -
172 LIQUARD Lea 100% 75% 24% 3% - - -
173 WEST Mia 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
173 PANCHAL Arya 100% 25% 3% - - - -
175 ERPELDING Emily 100% 95% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
176 SUN Angela 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -
177 CHIU Philippa 100% 75% 30% 6% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.