March NAC

Cadet Men's Saber

Friday, March 1, 2024 at 2:00 PM

Oregon Convention Center - Portland, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GUFFEY Christopher 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
2 LI Howard 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 9%
3 TAO Jeffrey 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 20%
3 WANG Daniel 100% 100% 100% 97% 74% 28%
5 HOLZ Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
6 JOO Jeein 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 43%
7 PI Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 28%
7 PRIMUS Nazir 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
9 KIM Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
10 RAMANAN Jaisimh 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
11 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
12 KIM ELIJAH 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 23%
13 YAN William 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 16%
14 CHOW William T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
14 ERMAKOV Semeon 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 25%
16 KANG Evan 100% 100% 95% 69% 23% 2%
17 WANG Zhuoyi 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
18 NGO Maximus 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 11% 1%
19 LEE Noah 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 8%
20 HU Christopher 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
21 YANG Dylan 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 65% 21%
22 SU Landon 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
23 PATEL Rayn 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
24 LI Yiwei 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
25 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
25 KANG Evan R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
27 KALPATHY Rohit 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
28 MATTOO Deven 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
29 HWANG Jayden 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 19%
30 SANGSTER Arden 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
31 SO Preston 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
32 ANAND Rohan 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
33 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 36%
34 VAID Luke 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
34 CHAN Henry 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 3%
36 GONZALEZ Emilio A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 73%
37 CHEN Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
38 ANTHONY Devyn V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
39 SAMMI Mukul 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
39 MUNGUIA Nathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 15%
41 ANDRES Michael 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 5%
42 NARDINI Nathanael P. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
42 WU YINAN 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 23%
44 GONZALEZ Jake 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 26% 4%
45 PASTORE LIU Vince 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 52% 14%
46 KITSON Chase 100% 100% 99% 88% 51% 15% 2%
47 LIU Kevin 100% 100% 99% 92% 57% 15%
48 CHON Collin 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
49 MEHAN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 27%
50 SHIPITSIN Alexander 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 15% 2%
50 ZHAO Lucas 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 8%
52 HOLZ Lucas 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 1%
53 STURGEON Cole 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 10% 1%
54 TSE Aiden J 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 13%
55 CAO Oliver 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
56 YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 27% 4%
57 ZHAO Zhiyu(Yogi) 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 58% 18%
58 CHUNG Connor 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 25%
59 LIN Maxim 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 23%
60 ZHOU William 100% 99% 86% 45% 11% 1%
61 SOWERS Samuel 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 15%
62 NG Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 10%
63 TARIGHI kasra 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 12%
64 GONG zihao 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 5%
65 KATZ Ryan 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 6%
66 ZHU Yuchen (Kevin) 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 27% 4%
67 DAWSON-TEECE Powell 100% 91% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
68 FANG Eason 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 10% 1%
69 XU Ivan 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7% 1%
70 LUC Cedric 100% 99% 82% 47% 16% 3% -
71 PANG Aidan 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
72 YOOK Isaac 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 5% -
73 WANG Tiger 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 4% -
74 SUGIURA Samuel 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
75 MEYERSON Jacob 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 30% 5%
75 BIVIJI Ali 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 17% 2%
77 YANG Phillip 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
78 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 4%
79 YERRAMILLI Tejas 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 32% 4%
80 WONG Lucas 100% 98% 86% 59% 26% 6% 1%
81 AUTREY Adrien 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
82 PRIEUR Christian F. 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 7% 1%
83 TUNG Ryan 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
83 LIN Philip T. 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10% 1%
85 ZHAO Royce 100% 94% 60% 18% 2% -
86 WANG ANDREW CHANG 100% 100% 99% 88% 50% 7%
87 ZLATINSKI Jason 100% 93% 61% 19% 2% -
88 LEE Andrew 100% 100% 99% 86% 47% 11%
89 VUONG Kyle Ka-Him 100% 98% 79% 30% 5% -
90 ZHENG LEON 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
91 ZENG Vito 100% 95% 73% 40% 14% 3% -
92 HO Anson 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
93 WANG Jerry 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
94 WANG Michael 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
95 WANG Max 100% 96% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
95 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas 100% 97% 81% 48% 18% 3% -
97 OH Aster 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
98 HRISTOV Kris 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
98 HENDERSON Lucas 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6% -
100 VO Landon 100% 87% 54% 21% 4% - -
101 PEREIRA Beckham 100% 99% 89% 65% 31% 8% 1%
102 WAXLER Ryan 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
103 KIM Kendrick 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 5%
104 RAMTEKKAR Soham 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
105 PORTER Dupree 100% 97% 76% 35% 8% 1% -
106 LEE Brady 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
107 KANG Matthew 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
108 LIU Ethan 100% 79% 34% 7% 1% - -
109 CHEN Lohen 100% 99% 87% 54% 20% 3% -
110 PINTO Marcus 100% 100% 96% 76% 32% 5%
111 KOVALEV Daniil N. 100% 100% 100% 92% 59% 16%
112 GU Kevin 100% 84% 30% 5% - -
113 RADJABLI Maximillian 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 8% 1%
114 RAMANAN Govind 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
115 BOSITA Brennan 100% 91% 62% 25% 5% 1% -
115 CAO Donald 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2% -
117 SHA Walter 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2% -
118 WANG Justin 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 28% 5%
119 KOVACHEV Martin 100% 98% 75% 28% 5% - -
120 LIGH Checed 100% 98% 78% 40% 12% 2% -
121 KWON Kenneth 100% 97% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
122 ONG Dylan 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
123 LIU Aaron 100% 99% 87% 55% 21% 4% -
124 IYER Neil 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
125 BAI Evan 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
126 SASSI Ilyas 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
127 NOVOSYOLOK Zachary 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 2% -
128 LI Coby 100% 99% 86% 53% 20% 4% -
129 GONG Gavin 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
130 EYBELMAN Ariel 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 6% 1%
131 JOUFFLINEAU Yohann 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% - -
132 WONG Max 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
133 TAN Ryan 100% 74% 33% 9% 1% - -
134 ZHOU Brian 100% 66% 22% 3% - -
135 GAY Jono 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 9% 1%
136 MISHRA Aadi 100% 99% 87% 54% 17% 2% -
137 GU Andrew 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
138 NGUYEN Dylan Kwon 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
139 UEMOTO Ken 100% 99% 94% 73% 40% 12% 1%
140 GREMILLION Obadiah 100% 99% 88% 56% 22% 4% -
141 TURNER Benjamin 100% 92% 53% 16% 2% - -
142 ANAND Rishab 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
143 CLARK Gabriel 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
144 GUREVICH Benjamin 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6% -
145 SADHU Neiyam 100% 95% 71% 31% 7% 1% -
145 BRIMMER Robert (Trey) 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
145 LI Yidong A. 100% 99% 83% 45% 13% 2% -
148 RINALDI Savio 100% 81% 38% 9% 1% - -
149 OREN Daniel 100% 75% 22% 2% - -
150 CRICOL Damian 100% 93% 59% 17% 2% -
151 MUNJULURI ruhaan 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
152 SZULIM Lucjan 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
153 RONG Jasper 100% 93% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
153 CHEN Cooper 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
155 SARWAHI Viraat 100% 95% 63% 24% 5% - -
156 YANG Harvey 100% 92% 66% 32% 9% 1% -
157 LI Maxwell 100% 99% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
158 LUC Linkin 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
159 BEVANS Auden 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% - -
160 COBIAN Richard 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% 1% -
160 LIU Yijin 100% 83% 42% 12% 2% - -
162 VENKATRAMAN Sudhir 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
163 GAO Kai 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
164 XIAO Brayden 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
165 LIU ERIC 100% 96% 75% 35% 8% 1% -
166 HONG Aidan 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
167 SRIVATS Vedh 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
168 HWANG Hagan 100% 97% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
169 XU James 100% 64% 21% 3% - - -
169 FOSTY Jasper 100% 95% 68% 29% 6% 1% -
171 MO Zihao 100% 99% 93% 74% 42% 14% 2%
172 SU Kingston 100% 87% 37% 6% - - -
173 SUN Andrew 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
174 SEELMAN Cole 100% 51% 9% 1% - -
175 AO Christopher 100% 96% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
176 LI Ayden 100% 98% 87% 57% 24% 5% -
177 DOLEV Ido 100% 91% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
178 SINGH Nikaansh 100% 68% 23% 3% - - -
179 GAO Gino he yuan 100% 71% 26% 5% - - -
180 CALL Henderson 100% 38% 5% - - - -
181 LIAO Yifong 100% 79% 35% 8% 1% - -
182 HENRY Ethan 100% 39% 5% - - -
183 METCALF Donovan 100% 91% 56% 17% 2% -
184 ZHANG Lucas 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
185 LIU Daniel 100% 45% 8% 1% - -
186 MINASIAN Mason 100% 86% 47% 14% 2% - -
186 ZHAO Lucas 100% 83% 45% 15% 3% - -
188 MEISTER Henry 100% 43% 9% 1% - - -
189 YAO Zachary 100% 41% 7% 1% - - -
190 SULLIVAN Gerard 100% 28% 3% - - - -
191 YAO Kellon(Yukun) 100% 39% 6% - - - -
192 KANG Alan 100% 27% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.