March NAC

Cadet Women's Saber

Saturday, March 2, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Oregon Convention Center - Portland, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HUAI Delilah 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
2 SO Catelyn 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 29%
3 SCHMIDT Isabel 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
3 ZHANG XUANYI 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
5 WANG Callie 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 10%
6 LIM Jaslene 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 15%
7 ZHANG Chenfei 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 27%
8 TSUI Natalie 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
9 LIU Sydney 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 16%
10 LIU Yifei 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
11 MCKEE Brynnley 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
12 TSE Angelina 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 42%
13 JEONG Katie 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
14 KINKADE Ellie 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 24% 4%
15 ZENG Sarah 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
16 DHAR Layla 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32% 5%
17 KURAEVA Vasilisa 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 8%
18 CHIARELLI Valentina 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
19 LIN Nicole 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 36%
20 ATTIA Jasmine 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 43% 12%
21 TAN Adelyn 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 5%
22 GAUTAM Sahana 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 12%
23 TABANGAY Heartlyn 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 45%
24 MEDVINSKY Alexandra 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 19%
25 CHUNG Hailey 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
26 FERNANDEZ Martina 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
27 YUEN Nicole 100% 99% 73% 31% 6% -
28 LEI Zitong (Meya) 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 1%
29 ARNOLD Hali 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 11%
30 HSU Leah 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 38% 8%
31 SENOGLU Irmak 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
32 FAN Alexandria 100% 99% 86% 49% 13% 1%
33 MOK Charlotte 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 23% 3%
34 PANTALEON-MAZOLA Amari 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 12% 1%
35 YU Holly 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 37%
36 HAMMERSTROM Aria 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 34% 6%
37 LAURI Keira 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
38 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 14% 2%
39 CHAVAN Arya 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 38% 9%
40 MAKLIN Sofia 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
41 ZOLLER Noelle 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5%
42 STONE Coral 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
43 BERMAN greta 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 20%
44 DUDNICK Morgan 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 11%
45 WEI JoyAnn 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 18%
46 FAVO Isabella 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 34%
47 NADKARNI Marisa 100% 98% 82% 45% 15% 2% -
48 KANG Ellie 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 8%
49 VINOGOROVA Sofiia 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 11%
50 LOO Kaitlyn 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
51 KU Alathea-Joy 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
52 LIN Elaine 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
53 HUGHES-WILLIAMS Adelayde 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
54 GOLDIN Nina 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14%
55 REN Katherine 100% 96% 64% 22% 3% -
56 LI Sonia 100% 98% 82% 46% 13% 1%
57 MERCHANT Aishwarya 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
58 GUGALA Hanna 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 47% 14%
59 MUND Ruth 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 17%
60 YOUNG Audrey 100% 100% 99% 89% 53% 17% 2%
61 SINGER Ellery 100% 85% 51% 19% 4% - -
62 DANTULURI Shalini 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 16%
63 KRIVOSHEEV Alexandra 100% 100% 92% 63% 24% 4%
64 NAIR Supriya 100% 98% 78% 34% 7% -
65 CHAN Jolene 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 36% 7%
65 WANG Gloria Ruoyan 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 52% 15%
67 PABIAN Emilia 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
68 DANG Kelia 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 22%
69 PADANILAM Lily 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 4%
69 UEMOTO Lynn 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 10% 1%
71 MALEK Zolie 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
72 MANN Sophia J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
73 LEOU Korina 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
74 XIE Nora 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
75 BUSH Bethany 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 22% 3%
76 KONDEV Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 12%
77 WONG Cerise 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
78 MERMEGAS Olivia 100% 98% 87% 56% 22% 5% -
79 QIU Katherine 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 7%
80 HU Anna 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 43% 11%
81 MUNGUIA Mila 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 14% 2%
82 JIANG Evelyn 100% 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%
83 STADNIK Emilia 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 7% 1%
84 MEYERSON Michelle 100% 100% 94% 67% 26% 4% -
85 LIU Hannah 100% 100% 98% 86% 49% 13% 1%
86 SHEARER Alena 100% 99% 93% 67% 26% 4%
87 LIU Kelly 100% 100% 94% 68% 25% 3%
88 LEE Alyson 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
89 MACKAY Katherine 100% 97% 75% 30% 6% - -
90 MAO Elsa 100% 88% 53% 17% 2% - -
91 CHI Claire 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% 1%
92 KWON Ava 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 6% -
93 VINOKUR Anita 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
94 BORGUETA Madison 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
95 MISHEV Lila 100% 98% 79% 42% 13% 2% -
96 CHIANG Melissa 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 14%
97 ZHAI AMY 100% 98% 83% 52% 19% 4% -
98 YOUNG Charlotte G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
98 LIN Annika 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 3% -
100 DIECK Miranda P. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
100 LOURENCO Alexandra 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% 1% -
102 FLEEGER Sophia 100% 84% 36% 6% - - -
103 HAN Emma 100% 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
103 KIM Satie 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
105 MAK Kaitlin 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
106 KIM Audrey 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% 1% -
107 INSALACO Margo 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
108 NIU Jessica 100% 89% 55% 20% 3% -
109 AWAD Royce 100% 100% 88% 52% 17% 2%
110 KIM Karen 100% 92% 60% 22% 3% -
111 CHEN Elaine 100% 96% 75% 37% 10% 1%
112 OCA Merci 100% 94% 57% 17% 2% -
113 LO Chloe 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 7%
113 FOSS Persephone 100% 91% 58% 20% 3% -
115 ZHU TINGYI 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 7%
116 CONG Anne 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
117 ZAWADA Milena 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
118 TURIANO Nadelle 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
119 SUNG Olivia 100% 99% 87% 54% 20% 4% -
120 CHEN Kevy 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
121 WANG JiaQi 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
122 XU Elaine 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% - -
123 DHAR Rana 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
124 SENGUPTA Jia 100% 98% 84% 55% 24% 6% 1%
125 ZHANG Ashley 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
126 WONG Natalie 100% 99% 88% 52% 15% 2% -
127 HUANG Neila 100% 96% 77% 45% 16% 3% -
128 BROWN Aria 100% 91% 57% 21% 4% -
129 WANG Jiayi 100% 87% 53% 18% 3% -
129 OU Yixuan 100% 98% 80% 39% 9% 1%
131 FEENER Paige 100% 63% 21% 3% - -
132 PHAN Genevieve 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% -
133 CAO Sophie 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
134 BORTAI Eliza 100% 85% 41% 10% 1% - -
135 LIANG Claire 100% 95% 67% 25% 5% - -
136 SULLIVAN Madilyn R. 100% 99% 84% 37% 8% 1% -
137 ZHU Avril 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
138 HUANGFU Xingyue 100% 84% 49% 17% 3% - -
139 TIAN Cynthia 100% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1% -
140 LEE Kaitlin 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
140 LIU kai yin aria 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% - -
142 TEYSSIER Katherine 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 21% 2%
143 KAUL Tara 100% 94% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
144 YU Stella 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
145 PARK Haylie 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
146 CAI Veronica 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% -
147 CASTELO Soleil 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
147 SHEN Emily 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
147 YU Skylar 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
150 CHOI Charlotte 100% 91% 57% 21% 4% - -
151 MAO anna 100% 92% 60% 23% 5% - -
152 GAIKWAD Ashmiee 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
153 LEMMEN Jasmijn 100% 75% 33% 7% 1% - -
153 SUNG Isabella 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
155 FREEMAN Armine 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 8% -
155 KIRBY Skye 100% 79% 30% 5% - - -
157 CHANG Annette 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
158 RAGHURAMAN Anishka 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
159 LONG Jessie 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% - -
160 LIU Hannah 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
161 MOON Claire 100% 96% 74% 36% 8% 1% -
162 KESSLER Amelia 100% 29% 4% - - - -
163 PANCHAL Arya 100% 29% 2% - - - -
164 HO Sophia 100% 90% 51% 14% 2% - -
165 TISSONE Veronica 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
166 ROBBINS Adele 100% 66% 24% 5% 1% - -
167 WONG Charlene 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% -
168 LIU Abigail 100% 30% 4% - - -
169 BLAKE Anna 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
169 TONG Laurie 100% 92% 62% 26% 5% - -
169 LU QIWEN 100% 50% 11% 1% - - -
172 BAERENWALD Welles 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
173 IREGUI Sofia 100% 28% 3% - - -
174 LEE Madeleine 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
174 PINTO Preethi Antony 100% 51% 11% 1% - - -
174 JUNG Sienna 100% 87% 30% 4% - - -
177 SUN Angela 100% 52% 10% 1% - - -
177 FORD-BURRIS Zooey 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
179 HISEROTE Ellie 100% 4% - - - -
180 DOLEV Rony 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% - -
180 MEFFORD Isadora 100% 48% 10% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.