The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

March NAC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Saturday, March 2, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Oregon Convention Center - Portland, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU Joy Zhaoyi 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97%
2 LEE Lavender 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93%
3 KIM Rachel 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
3 YANG Iris 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 90%
5 CHO Emily (Euran) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88%
6 GU Maggie Runlin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
7 ZOU Ella 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
8 JOO Natalie 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 65% 12%
9 CHEN Renee 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 71%
10 LENK Sophie 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 31%
11 CALISE Ella 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 42%
12 SHEN Emilia 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
13 DONG Angela 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 62% 11%
14 DENG Melissa 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
15 SIROTA Francis 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34% 6%
16 SWANSON Alexa 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
17 HSU Kaylin 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
17 MCSHERRY Ava 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
19 PEVZNER Nicole 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
20 FENG Grace 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
21 BAE Yooju 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43% 5%
22 LAI Sophia 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
23 YANG Audrey 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 30%
24 YAN Noelle 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 30%
25 GOOR Viviene E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 79%
26 LIU Enjia sherry 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 12%
27 FENG Audrey 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 21% 2%
28 PENG Charlotte 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 25% 1%
29 LI Han (Helina) 100% 100% 99% 85% 47% 10%
30 ZHANG Junyi Irina 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 42% 9%
31 TSIMIKLIS Aphrodite 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13% 1%
32 LI Joy 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 3%
33 HO Addison 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
33 ZHANG Soleil C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
35 SUN Chloe 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 72%
36 WANG Joanna 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 52%
37 ZHANG Lian 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 2%
38 BEAVER Ava 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 63% 15%
38 GUO Audrey 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19% 1%
40 KIM Claire 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13% -
41 TANG Melody Fujiao 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 12%
42 ZONG Melody 100% 99% 90% 58% 20% 3% -
43 BING Charlotte 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 19% 1%
44 BROWN Lola 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 30%
45 KIM Sydney 100% 100% 97% 77% 36% 7% -
46 ZELDIN Nadia 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 29%
47 AYUPOVA AMELIYA 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 57%
48 WANG CAROL 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 35%
49 ZHANG Ivy 100% 100% 98% 88% 53% 13%
50 WANG SIQI 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 45%
51 WU Nicole Moxuan 100% 100% 95% 74% 32% 5%
52 YU Jane 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 14%
52 HU Jenna 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 11%
54 SHIM Grace J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 69%
55 WANG Sophia 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 6%
56 MANIKTALA Prisha 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
56 FETECAU Ilinca 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 63% 11%
58 WU Chingfei Amber 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 26% 1%
59 DUAN Sophie 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 33% 6%
60 WANG Amabel 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75% 23%
61 MUMMANENI Samyuta 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 25% 1%
62 MCSHERRY Kayla 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 9% -
63 WYNN Kylie 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 8%
64 GUAN Adeline 100% 100% 97% 76% 34% 6%
65 DAI Zizhuo (Zizi) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
66 OH Ceana 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
67 SAIFEE Lamya 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
68 LI Azalea 100% 100% 98% 83% 44% 10% -
69 HAN Mia 100% 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% -
70 ORRINGER Lottie 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9% -
71 CASHMAN Hailey 100% 100% 98% 65% 11% -
72 XIE Lillian 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 14%
73 CUI alivia 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26% 1%
74 BU Bessie 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 35% 4%
75 AADHI Hansika 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 29% 4%
76 HAFEZ Tahiyah 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 50% 10%
77 GOITIA Genevieve 100% 98% 81% 38% 8% - -
78 MONAT Jennifer 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 13% 1%
79 AL-BATTAINEH Eva 100% 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% -
80 HU Sophie 100% 97% 77% 35% 7% 1% -
81 DIMATULAC Elise Ann 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 48% 11%
82 REN Kayley 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 7%
83 DESAI Esha 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 4% -
84 YACOBUCCI Nadia 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35% 2%
85 TAO Ann 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 11% 1%
86 ZOLDAN Gweniveve A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24% -
86 CHUN Adelle Ha-Eune 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29% 4%
88 LIU Samantha 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 4% -
89 CHOI Jion 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 30%
90 JIANG Chloe 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 13% 1%
91 POEI Lauren 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 12% 1%
92 ZHANG Queeny 100% 80% 35% 7% 1% - -
93 SHIN Jaelynn 100% 98% 71% 29% 6% - -
94 DAVIS Logan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
95 LEVESQUE Brielle 100% 100% 95% 65% 24% 3%
96 SAH Madeleine 100% 83% 43% 11% 1% -
97 XIE Su 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 19% 2%
98 LUO Miranda 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 13% 1%
99 ZHOU Joi 100% 98% 80% 43% 13% 1% -
100 YONG Rosalind 100% 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1%
101 MCFARLANE Asha 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 23% 3%
102 LIU Ariana 100% 90% 59% 22% 4% - -
103 ORBE-AUSTIN Nia 100% 100% 95% 67% 25% 4% -
103 CAI Ilana 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 19% 1%
103 PUTHOFF Olivia 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 7% -
106 HUGHES Olivia 100% 82% 38% 9% 1% - -
107 MIRZA Sophia 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 5% -
108 RIVERA Leahy 100% 99% 87% 47% 12% 1% -
109 KNAPP Isabella 100% 97% 69% 28% 6% - -
109 NWODO Naila 100% 93% 62% 24% 5% - -
111 KENSICKI Phoebe 100% 99% 90% 58% 20% 3% -
112 ORBÉ-AUSTIN Maya 100% 95% 68% 25% 3% -
113 OLSHANSKY Dalia 100% 80% 34% 6% - -
113 KIM Lauren 100% 86% 47% 13% 1% -
115 LIU Eva 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 3%
116 EYER Brooke 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
117 YAO Abby 100% 100% 97% 77% 37% 6% -
118 CHAN Mila 100% 100% 91% 54% 16% 2% -
119 WANG Yanxuan(Alicia) 100% 90% 54% 15% 2% - -
120 PEDERSEN Haley 100% 97% 71% 29% 6% - -
121 WANG Melissa 100% 100% 92% 64% 25% 4% -
122 HARRIS Julia 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52% 8%
123 WILLIAMSON Tessa 100% 96% 69% 25% 4% - -
124 ANDONIAN Lauren 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7% -
125 XIA Isabella 100% 83% 40% 8% 1% - -
126 LU Keeva 100% 71% 28% 5% - -
127 THERON Zoe 100% 99% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
128 LI Alice 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 3%
129 CHERNYKH Elina 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 16% 1%
130 FANG Kelervia 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2% -
131 VANMOORSEL Faye 100% 100% 97% 78% 40% 10% 1%
132 WANG DINA C. 100% 99% 92% 65% 24% 4% -
133 ZEE Savannah 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 7% -
134 GE Lena Lan 100% 99% 89% 55% 17% 2% -
135 PARK Lauren 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8% 1%
136 PIQUETTE Annika 100% 95% 67% 22% 3% - -
137 YU Sophie 100% 98% 74% 33% 7% 1% -
138 BAULIN Zoya 100% 85% 40% 9% 1% - -
139 MA Isabelle 100% 100% 95% 70% 27% 3% -
140 CHANG Lydia 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3% -
141 DAI Iris Yuyang 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2% -
142 MORSE Katherine 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
143 LEE Jeemin 100% 99% 89% 54% 12% 1%
144 LICHTENSTEIGER Megan 100% 99% 92% 65% 24% 3%
145 SHAOOLIAN Maya 100% 99% 87% 36% 4% -
146 DESERANNO Seren 100% 96% 72% 31% 6% -
147 KRAHE Annika 100% 100% 96% 77% 35% 6% -
148 LIN Allison 100% 97% 77% 33% 6% - -
149 NEUMANN Erika 100% 75% 31% 6% 1% - -
150 PARK Olivia 100% 76% 31% 6% 1% - -
151 HOROWITZ Shuli 100% 99% 87% 51% 16% 2% -
152 MA Emily(Yiming) 100% 94% 57% 16% 2% - -
152 DONG Iris 100% 100% 99% 86% 48% 11% -
154 BOIKE Lucille 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3% -
154 HAN Gian 100% 99% 92% 66% 26% 3% -
154 YUEN Elsie 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 12% 1%
154 LEE Zoe 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
154 PAN Yiran 100% 100% 96% 73% 29% 4% -
159 CHU Felicity 100% 84% 37% 7% - - -
160 ZHANG Gwenyth 100% 100% 94% 66% 23% 3% -
160 WU Elynna 100% 95% 66% 25% 4% - -
162 REZA Fukaina 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
163 TEWARI Amaira 100% 65% 19% 3% - - -
164 HSIAO Ariya 100% 39% 7% 1% - - -
165 LI Savannah 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 2% -
166 LIU Ashley 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
167 SHIN Elizabeth 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
168 WANG Yiru (Nina) 100% 80% 35% 7% 1% -
169 YANG Byanca 100% 41% 3% - - -
170 KIM Natalie 100% 51% 8% 1% - -
171 COX Sophia 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
172 TELEB Farida 100% 98% 79% 36% 7% - -
173 RUI Jessie 100% 98% 79% 40% 10% 1% -
174 YIN Chloe 100% 89% 52% 16% 2% - -
175 TAN Shouyin 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
176 FU Pui Lam (Paisley) 100% 99% 80% 37% 8% 1% -
177 AHN Hayley 100% 78% 28% 4% - - -
178 DUVVA Sanika 100% 78% 31% 5% - - -
179 CHANG Olivia 100% 77% 34% 7% 1% - -
180 FRASER Morgan 100% 94% 62% 23% 4% - -
181 WANG Doreen 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 3% -
182 AL-BATTAINEH Hana 100% 92% 51% 14% 2% - -
182 LEUNG Lokhei (Hailey) 100% 92% 59% 21% 4% - -
184 FAN Sophia 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
185 DENG Claire 100% 93% 63% 26% 5% - -
186 HERNANDEZ BERRON Carolina 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 2% -
187 CHAN Ella 100% 93% 62% 21% 3% - -
188 ANWEILER Megan 100% 85% 35% 6% - - -
189 COLIC LANI 100% 25% 2% - - - -
190 CHEN Elysia 100% 46% 9% 1% - - -
191 CHUNG Yune 100% 99% 89% 55% 15% 2% -
192 CHEN Zitong 100% 82% 28% 4% - - -
193 KRYLTSOVA Eva 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2% -
194 YU Xintong 100% 47% 9% 1% - - -
195 YUEN Chloe 100% 70% 17% 2% - -
196 JENA Aanvi 100% 65% 20% 2% - -
197 CHO Karis 100% 65% 22% 4% - - -
198 LAI Miranda 100% 81% 40% 9% 1% -
199 LIU Isabelle 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
200 CHOI Cara 100% 66% 21% 3% - - -
201 NIRGUDE Esha 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
202 LING Camryn 100% 89% 46% 11% 1% - -
202 CHEN Madeleine 100% 68% 22% 3% - - -
204 LOWENKOPF Cybele 100% 72% 15% 1% - -
205 FENG Esther 100% 50% 10% 1% - - -
205 CHUN Ami 100% 49% 10% 1% - - -
205 CHEN Aimee 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
205 CLAYTON Evelyn 100% 20% 2% - - - -
209 ROUSH Rowynn 100% 25% 2% - - - -
209 TAI Taphanie 100% 62% 17% 2% - - -
209 GUO GABRINA 100% 71% 26% 4% - - -
212 YANG Ana 100% 29% 3% - - - -
212 YANG Ava 100% 39% 7% 1% - - -
214 SHANG Arianna 100% 72% 27% 4% - - -
214 VASQUEZ Zanna 100% 33% 4% - - - -
216 YU-TAN Claire 100% 55% 12% 1% - - -
216 PARK Seojeong 100% 40% 5% - - - -
218 ETIKALA Saanvi 100% 36% 4% - - - -
218 OLSON Linnea 100% 69% 19% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.