March NAC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Sunday, March 3, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Oregon Convention Center - Portland, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Joanna 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 52%
2 FENG Grace 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85%
3 JOO Natalie 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
3 ZOU Ella 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
5 ZHANG Soleil C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 34%
6 SUN Chloe 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 52%
6 HARRIS Julia 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 12%
8 WANG Amabel 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 49%
9 TSIMIKLIS Aphrodite 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57% 9%
10 LI Joy 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
11 KENSICKI Phoebe 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52% 7%
12 BAE Yooju 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
13 KRAHE Annika 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
14 ZHANG Junyi Irina 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84% 30%
15 MCSHERRY Kayla 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 30% 5%
16 TANG Melody Fujiao 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
17 BU Bessie 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 27%
18 MUMMANENI Samyuta 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
19 MCFARLANE Asha 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
20 SIROTA Francis 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78% 22%
21 AL-BATTAINEH Eva 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
22 WANG Doreen 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 13%
23 LIU Enjia sherry 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
24 RUI Jessie 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
25 CASHMAN Hailey 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 33% 5%
25 LI Alice 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 31%
27 DONG Iris 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 30% 4%
28 LIU Ariana 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 10% 1%
29 ZHANG Lian 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 25%
30 KIM Sydney 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 20%
31 WATSON Evelyn 100% 99% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
32 CHANG Lydia 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% -
33 TAO Ann 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 39%
34 JIANG Chloe 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 25%
35 THERON Zoe 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
36 SAH Madeleine 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 4%
37 DUAN Sophie 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
38 KNAPP Isabella 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 25% 4%
39 ZEE Savannah 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
40 NEUMANN Erika 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 5% -
41 LAI Miranda 100% 100% 96% 78% 37% 6% -
42 BROWN Lola 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81%
43 HSIAO Ariya 100% 96% 73% 34% 6% -
44 DAI Iris Yuyang 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 5%
45 HAN Mia 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34% 1%
45 SHAOOLIAN Maya 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18% 1%
47 WANG DINA C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 18%
48 BING Charlotte 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 34%
49 LI Savannah 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30% 4%
50 LUO Miranda 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
51 YIN Chloe 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
52 WU Elynna 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
53 ZHANG Gwenyth 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 4%
54 YAO Abby 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 11%
55 EYER Brooke 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24% 1%
56 CHAN Mila 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
57 DENG Gaowa Eva 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
58 ORBÉ-AUSTIN Maya 100% 100% 98% 84% 45% 4%
59 SCHEFFLER Aria 100% 100% 97% 74% 33% 7% -
60 FU Pui Lam (Paisley) 100% 100% 95% 67% 25% 4% -
61 PUTHOFF Olivia 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31% 2%
62 BOIKE Lucille 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 2%
63 CHO Karis 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2% -
64 KIM Natalie 100% 97% 74% 33% 7% -
65 HAN Gian 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 29%
66 LEE Jeemin 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 17%
67 KIM Lauren 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 19% 2%
68 CAI Ilana 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
69 FAN Sophia 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
70 LING Camryn 100% 99% 89% 59% 20% 2% -
70 FANG Kelervia 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
72 ZHOU Joi 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 7%
73 ORRINGER Lottie 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
74 HU Sophie 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 23% 2%
75 YACOBUCCI Nadia 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
76 ZHAO Olivia 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 5% -
77 TELEB Farida 100% 100% 99% 83% 45% 12% 1%
78 CHANG Olivia 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 8% 1%
79 YU Sophie 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
80 HUGHES Olivia 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 7% 1%
81 HOROWITZ Shuli 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 23% 2%
82 LIU Ashley 100% 100% 91% 59% 20% 3% -
83 DENG Claire 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10% -
84 SOE Hayleigh 100% 100% 99% 88% 44% 6% -
85 BYK Karalina 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 10% 1%
86 SHEN Stephanie 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 14%
87 CHANG Chaumet Wan Ting 100% 100% 97% 87% 62% 29% 6%
88 CHOI Jion 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 12%
89 CHAN Ella 100% 100% 96% 76% 34% 5% -
90 CHAN Jolene 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 9% 1%
91 SCHULTZ Sumi 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
92 LU Keeva 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
93 GOITIA Genevieve 100% 98% 86% 53% 19% 3% -
94 OLSHANSKY Dalia 100% 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% -
94 DESAI Zoya 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
96 CHOI Lydia 100% 99% 89% 54% 16% 2% -
97 CHEN Madeleine 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
97 ZHANG Priscilla 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 1%
99 FRASER Morgan 100% 100% 99% 92% 53% 9% -
100 MA Isabelle 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
101 SHIN Elizabeth 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 21% 2%
102 MORENO Alexsis 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3% -
102 PARK Lauren 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
104 WANG Yanxuan(Alicia) 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 5% -
105 JOO Sara 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4% -
106 LEE Zoe 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 12% 1%
107 SHAOOLIAN Alexa 100% 100% 98% 77% 37% 8% 1%
108 CHEN Zitong 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
109 THOTA Akira 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% -
110 KENNEDY Izadora 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
111 TEWARI Amaira 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1% -
112 GUO GABRINA 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% - -
113 MURPHY Genevieve 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
114 KOU Elisha 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
115 CHUNG Yune 100% 98% 81% 43% 12% 1% -
116 RIVERA Leahy 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 6% -
117 LI Emma Jing 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% - -
118 DUVVA Sanika 100% 96% 64% 22% 3% - -
119 BAULIN Zoya 100% 98% 86% 53% 19% 3% -
119 CHENG Audrey 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
121 ESAKI Kei 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 9%
122 ENRIQUEZ Bianca Perla 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
123 TAI Taphanie 100% 80% 36% 8% 1% - -
124 WU Allison 100% 100% 92% 65% 25% 3%
125 ZHENG Annalyn 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
126 KIM Alison 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
127 JIANG Ziqing 100% 96% 77% 43% 13% 2% -
128 SAIFEE Zahra 100% 89% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
129 MALIK Manha 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 22% 3%
130 FENG Esther 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
131 ZHANG Hannah 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1% -
132 WANG Ada 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
133 YANG Ava 100% 92% 65% 30% 7% 1% -
134 XIA Isabella 100% 98% 76% 35% 8% 1%
135 HONG ELSIE 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% -
136 DVOIRIS Maya 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
137 CHAN Hailey 100% 99% 75% 33% 8% 1% -
138 KLESERT Elizabeth 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
138 SHEN Gloria 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 7% 1%
140 BENTLEY Amelia 100% 79% 31% 4% - - -
141 CHOI Cara 100% 90% 53% 17% 3% - -
142 CHEN Aimee 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
143 HEMPHILL Mia 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
144 AHN Hayley 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
145 ZHAN Catherine 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
146 KIM Audrey 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
147 YANG Ana 100% 72% 27% 5% - - -
148 COLIC LANI 100% 70% 20% 2% - - -
149 YU-TAN Claire 100% 80% 37% 8% 1% - -
150 MCLANAHAN Jasmine 100% 99% 87% 49% 13% 1% -
151 QIAO Lori-Ann 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 7% 1%
152 BAMBUCK-VASQUEZ Charlotte 100% 86% 46% 11% 1% - -
153 OLSON Linnea 100% 87% 48% 15% 2% - -
154 QIN Adriana 100% 90% 57% 19% 2% -
155 KIM Dahyun 100% 92% 60% 21% 3% -
156 HINDMAN Grace 100% 32% 4% - - -
157 LIU Celia 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
158 NWODO Naila 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
159 CHEN Elysia 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
160 ETIKALA Saanvi 100% 67% 22% 4% - - -
161 LIU Mia 100% 84% 44% 10% 1% - -
161 JENA Aanvi 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
163 XU Ella 100% 99% 88% 53% 12% 1% -
164 SAIFEE Sakina 100% 99% 86% 45% 11% 1% -
165 WONNEBERG Kate 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
166 HOM Emma 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
166 LI Ivy 100% 100% 93% 69% 33% 9% 1%
168 LIN Avery 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% - -
169 ZHANG Queeny 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
170 YANG Byanca 100% 80% 32% 6% - - -
171 ARUNKISHORE Dakshina 100% 89% 51% 16% 3% - -
172 YU Xintong 100% 89% 49% 9% 1% - -
173 PARK Seojeong 100% 86% 25% 3% - - -
174 LIU Doris-Zihan Zhou 100% 94% 55% 16% 2% - -
175 KIM Phoebe 100% 10% - - - - -
176 ANWEILER Megan 100% 84% 42% 10% 1% - -
177 HERNANDEZ BERRON Carolina 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
178 LI Audrey 100% 85% 45% 13% 2% - -
179 SHANG Arianna 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
180 WANG Zoe(Yi Wen) 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
181 MA Sophia 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
182 HO Peyton 100% 99% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
183 ZALTZMAN Maya 100% 91% 57% 17% 2% - -
183 CHUN Ami 100% 68% 24% 4% - - -
185 YIN Anthea 100% 54% 12% 1% - - -
186 CHIN Riley 100% 66% 19% 1% - - -
186 NICOLETTI Thea 100% 79% 34% 7% 1% - -
186 LOWENKOPF Cybele 100% 60% 14% 1% - - -
189 KELLY Daphne 100% 24% 1% - - - -
189 KASHUBA Mila 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
191 HONDA Emi 100% 32% 4% - - - -
192 JONES Rowan 100% 68% 25% 4% - - -
192 ALVAREZ Corinne 100% 46% 9% 1% - - -
194 VALOUEVA Katerina 100% 24% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.