2024 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, February 3, 2024 at 1:00 PM

Rockland Community College (Eugene Levy Fieldhouse) - None

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Jayden 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
2 KIM Henry 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 60%
3 DODIN Daniel M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 38%
3 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
5 WANG-SONG Evan 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 12%
6 NOOL Alexander 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
7 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
8 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 23%
9 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
10 TSIEN Richard 100% 99% 94% 73% 40% 12% 1%
11 GIORDANO Zach 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
12 NG Nico 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 12% 2%
13 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 3%
14 WANG Marcus 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
15 SZCZAPA Lukas 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 34% 6%
16 YU David 100% 99% 94% 73% 41% 13% 2%
17 WITHERELL Logan 100% 99% 91% 69% 37% 12% 2%
18 SHAPIRO Samuel 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 2%
19 CHEN Tianjun 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% 1%
20 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 100% 100% 97% 83% 55% 23% 4%
21 FOGEL Jake 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
22 NOOL Aaron 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 5% -
23 BHANDARE Veer 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
23 CHEN Evan 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
25 TOPRANI Valmik 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 22% 4%
26 CHEN Daniel 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
27 FRIZZELL Kai 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 14% 1%
28 PUTHOFF Henry 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
29 DANILOV Artur 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23% 2%
30 CHEN Cameron 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
31 ZINCHUK Yuri 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3% -
32 WILLIAMS Gavin 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
33 MASKIN Mikhail 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 9%
34 CHO Adrian 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
35 CHEN Jayden A 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
36 WHITE Jackson 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
37 CAVALLARO Sebastian 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
38 YOON Jonathan 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
39 DAI Jason 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
40 ZHANG Jayden 100% 83% 38% 9% 1% - -
41 LAI Jayden 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
41 HONG Ethen 100% 98% 85% 56% 25% 6% 1%
43 DINIC Pavle 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
43 BRESLAV Asher 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
45 CHIANG William 100% 99% 95% 77% 47% 17% 3%
46 LEE Leo 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 3%
47 WU Matthew 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
48 LEE Ryan 100% 69% 28% 6% 1% - -
49 ROFINO Samuel 100% 76% 37% 11% 2% - -
50 LANDMAN Martin 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
51 DAVIS Zane 100% 64% 21% 3% - - -
52 KHAHAM Samuel 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
53 WHITE Leonardo 100% 72% 31% 8% 1% - -
53 KIM Louie 100% 100% 84% 44% 13% 2% -
55 SMITH Theo 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
55 SHI Evan 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.