2024 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Sunday, February 4, 2024 at 1:00 PM

Rockland Community College (Eugene Levy Fieldhouse) - None

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Joanna - - - - 5% 30% 65%
2 BING Charlotte - 2% 13% 35% 37% 13%
3 JIANG Chloe - 1% 6% 22% 39% 27% 5%
3 LIU Eva - - 2% 19% 55% 23%
5 KAPRAN Anastasia - - - 5% 31% 64%
6 JOO Natalie - - - 6% 39% 54%
7 TSIMIKLIS Aphrodite - 1% 8% 30% 42% 20%
8 ZELDIN Nadia - - 1% 8% 37% 54%
9 FIELD Elizabeth - - - 3% 20% 46% 30%
10 SHIN Elizabeth 1% 13% 37% 35% 12% 1%
11 DONG Angela - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
12 MCFARLANE Asha - 1% 5% 24% 42% 24% 4%
12 WANG Amabel - - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
14 SHENG Katherine - - 1% 11% 39% 48%
15 BO Iris 2% 16% 39% 33% 9% 1%
16 ORRINGER Lottie - 2% 16% 39% 34% 8%
17 POLING Katherine - 9% 40% 37% 12% 2% -
18 DIMATULAC Elise Ann - - - 5% 24% 46% 25%
19 MCSHERRY Kayla - 1% 8% 25% 39% 23% 4%
20 PUTHOFF Olivia - - 4% 23% 43% 26% 3%
21 FENG Audrey - 2% 12% 36% 41% 10%
22 KRAHE Annika - 2% 13% 35% 37% 13%
23 ORBE-AUSTIN Nia 1% 10% 33% 39% 15% 1%
24 CAVANAGH Emma 10% 35% 37% 15% 2% -
25 HUANG Sophie 1% 7% 27% 42% 21% 3%
26 KIM Claire - 4% 22% 41% 27% 5%
27 BRADSHAW Tamira 4% 23% 44% 25% 4% -
28 DONG Iris - - 3% 17% 41% 33% 5%
29 CHEN Sophie - 4% 20% 40% 30% 6%
30 LIN Yunong - 5% 24% 41% 25% 4%
31 ORBÉ-AUSTIN Maya - 2% 19% 43% 29% 7% -
32 MANGLANI Maya 28% 44% 23% 5% - -
33 LEO Jenna 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
34 REZA Fukaina 2% 17% 39% 30% 10% 1%
35 CHOI Cara 24% 46% 24% 5% - -
36 SHANG Arianna 16% 42% 32% 9% 1% -
37 EPSTEIN Naomi 6% 26% 40% 23% 5% - -
38 KANG Annabella 19% 46% 29% 6% - -
39 LEE Allison 22% 45% 26% 6% 1% -
40 PEVZNER Sophia 27% 56% 16% 1% - - -
41 SHUTZER Lily 1% 12% 32% 37% 15% 2% -
42 PEDERSEN Clara 3% 22% 41% 27% 6% -
43 BERTOLINI Mia 21% 45% 27% 6% 1% -
44 NICUDEMUS Bryella 1% 10% 36% 41% 10% 1%
45 LI Savannah - 2% 13% 38% 40% 8%
46 FEDER Acadia 12% 37% 36% 13% 2% -
47 KIM Claire 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
48 DINAR Julia 13% 39% 34% 12% 2% - -
49 GOODMAN Carden 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% - -
50 WAN Celine 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
51 YOUM Amelia 40% 43% 15% 2% - -
52 JUNCADELLA Lucy 34% 45% 18% 3% - -
53 KOESTERS Florentine 40% 44% 14% 2% - -
54 GOMEZ Sofia 32% 46% 19% 3% - -
55 OTTAVIANO Maris 29% 44% 22% 5% - - -
56 ZHANG Caroline 36% 45% 17% 2% - -
57 ROSS Stella 55% 39% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.