The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Take Action

South Coast RYC/RJCC

Y-10 Women's Foil

Friday, March 8, 2024 at 10:00 AM

Pasadena Convention Center - Exhibit Halls A & B - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHAO Olivia - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
2 SOE Hayleigh - - - 3% 16% 40% 39%
3 KENSICKI Phoebe - - - 1% 9% 38% 52%
3 PARK Lauren - - - 2% 11% 39% 48%
5 DESAI Zoya - 5% 21% 37% 29% 7%
6 ZHANG Hannah - 2% 9% 25% 36% 24% 5%
7 QIAO Lori-Ann - - 2% 13% 34% 39% 10%
8 CHEN Yifan 4% 20% 37% 28% 10% 1%
9 NICOLETTI Thea 2% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3% -
10 LIM Kora 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
11 SAIFEE Zahra - 1% 5% 20% 38% 30% 7%
12 SAIFEE Sakina - 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3%
13 YUNG Zoe 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
14 TURBAT Celine 1% 6% 23% 36% 26% 7% 1%
15 GOWDA Siyona 15% 41% 32% 11% 2% - -
16 LIU Celia 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
17 LIN Clara 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
18 PAWAR Sanvi 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
19 LI Annabelle 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
20 KIM Rylie 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
21 CHU Chloe 9% 33% 36% 17% 4% -
22 FAN Lauren 9% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
23 ARCE BASURCO Juliana 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
24 KENT Audrey 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
25 POON Taylor 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
26 GARCIA NOLASCO Beanita 19% 40% 29% 10% 1% - -
27 THANT Leah 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.