Event Preview
November NACFriday, November 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 4608 | 4963 - 4368 |
| 5 - 8 | 4167 | 4372 - 4006 |
| 9 - 16 | 3623 | 3741 - 3487 |
| 17 - 32 | 3222 | 3450 - 3057 |
| 33 - 64 | 2926 | 3263 - 2688 |
| 65 - 128 | 2449 | 2939 - 2152 |
| 129 - 151 | 1977 | 2173 - 1676 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.