Old Man Winter

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, March 9, 2024 at 9:30 AM

CFFA - Tileston Gym at St. Mary - Wilmington, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SMOLICH Marat 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
2 PRUT Anton 100% 100% 93% 61% 19% 2%
3 DUBE Ian D. 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
3 SLOUGH Sean 100% 94% 67% 26% 3%
5 GUEVARRA Gerhard V. 100% 100% 100% 99% 84% 33%
6 GUEVARRA Isabelle C. 100% 99% 92% 65% 25% 3%
7 KUBE Lily 100% 89% 49% 12% 1%
8 FACEY Zion 100% 100% 96% 75% 33% 4%
9 GUEVARRA Gabriel (Gabe) W. 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 12%
10 AKBAY Deniz 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 9%
11 SMITH Finnley 100% 94% 68% 27% 5% -
12 GADOW Patrick 100% 84% 41% 10% 1% -
13 SPELL Kayla 100% 80% 41% 11% 1%
14 NYQUIST Tristan 100% 98% 83% 46% 11%
15 SALKIND Edward M. 100% 98% 50% 12% 1% -
16 STEWART Ivey 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% -
17 MILLER Debi 100% 16% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.