South Coast RYC/RJCC

Junior Women's Foil

Sunday, March 10, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Pasadena Convention Center - Exhibit Halls A & B - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	KIM Katherine	-	-	-	-	-	7%	93%
2	SUN Chloe	-	-	-	1%	11%	40%	47%
3	SUN Emily	-	-	1%	6%	25%	44%	24%
3	HSU Kaylin	-	-	1%	11%	49%	39%
5	CASTANEDA Keira	-	-	1%	12%	49%	38%
6	DO Leila	-	-	2%	21%	62%	15%
7	MCKAY Teresa	2%	17%	43%	33%	5%	-
8	WU Chingfei Amber	2%	13%	33%	34%	16%	3%	-
9	LEVESQUE Brielle	-	2%	22%	40%	28%	8%	1%
10	AYUPOVA AMELIYA	-	-	1%	6%	26%	44%	24%
11	RANDOLPH Piper	-	-	-	1%	24%	75%
12	LUH Mia P.	-	1%	6%	24%	41%	27%	1%
13	RAO Sonia D.	-	1%	5%	19%	35%	31%	10%
14	CUI alivia	-	3%	23%	41%	26%	7%	1%
15	CHOI Sophie	4%	24%	39%	26%	8%	1%	-
16	SHUM Maya	-	1%	11%	33%	38%	16%	2%
17	DANIELYANTS Gabriela	-	3%	17%	36%	33%	11%	-
18	KIM Sydney	1%	12%	30%	34%	18%	5%	-
19	CHANG Elizabeth	-	-	2%	11%	30%	38%	18%
20	CHOI Kailyn	-	1%	5%	23%	41%	26%	4%
21	PATTERSON Natalia	1%	13%	40%	38%	8%	-
22	ZHANG Ivy	-	2%	12%	29%	34%	18%	4%
23	NICKOLOV Nora	1%	13%	31%	33%	17%	4%	-
24	PENG Charlotte	-	5%	21%	39%	27%	7%	1%
25	CHANG Janelle	32%	46%	19%	3%	-	-
26	WILLIAMSON Tessa	5%	37%	42%	14%	1%	-
27	LIU Samantha	2%	14%	32%	32%	16%	4%	-
28	GUAN Sophie	-	-	3%	16%	38%	34%	8%
29	CAMPOS Camila	11%	37%	37%	13%	2%	-	-
30	ANDONIAN Lauren	2%	23%	46%	26%	3%	-
31	MA Yiming (Emily)	6%	67%	24%	3%	-	-	-
32	KANDL-ZHANG Lea	2%	17%	43%	33%	5%	-
33	GOEL Riyana	9%	33%	38%	17%	3%	-	-
34	HUGHES Olivia	32%	44%	20%	4%	-	-	-
35	JACOB Norah	28%	48%	21%	3%	-	-
36	KIM Lydia	2%	15%	34%	33%	14%	2%	-
37	CHU Felicity	71%	26%	3%	-	-	-
38	LIN Allison	53%	36%	9%	1%	-	-	-
39	CANTON Sara	48%	39%	12%	2%	-	-	-
40	KULKARNI myra	89%	11%	-	-	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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