The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

MoDuel Open Epee + MoDuel E & Under Epee [Two Events!]

E & Under Mixed Épée

Sunday, March 10, 2024 at 10:00 AM

Modern Duelists Fencing Academy - Elkton, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 ANAFI Ari - 1% 6% 20% 36% 30% 7%
2 STAFFORD Neti - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 4%
3 CHAWLA Aarav - 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
3 CUMMINGS Owen 2% 40% 40% 15% 3% - - -
5 PFEIL Shawn - - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
6 BANNEN Nicholas - - - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14%
7 GOH Cayla 1% 5% 19% 32% 29% 13% 2%
8 CUCCIARRE Pace 2% 11% 27% 32% 21% 7% 1%
9 THORN Evan 3% 15% 30% 31% 17% 4% -
10 MCCABE Kian - 4% 26% 40% 24% 6% -
11 KORMANN Joseph - 1% 6% 20% 33% 29% 10%
12 WOHNER Kenneth S. 19% 39% 29% 11% 2% < 1% -
13 FAKTOR Emily - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
14 KARASICK Andrew - - 3% 12% 29% 37% 19%
15 ASUNCION Arren - - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
16 JARRATT Isaac 1% 10% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
17 SIMS Martin L. - 5% 18% 34% 30% 11% 1%
18 SNYDER John W. - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
19 SOKALSKI Edwin - 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5%
20 HERTZOG Ben 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
21 ADAMS Gregory S. - - 3% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
22 DELONG Joshua 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
23 DESANTIS Matteo - 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
24 MURPHY Megan 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
25 ALLEN Sarah 7% 36% 37% 16% 4% - -
26 LUNNING Karen 52% 37% 10% 1% - - -
27 WISCHNIA Eric 10% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
28 SHROWTHY Advaith 1% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2% -
29 CHEN Shanshan 73% 23% 3% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.