The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

March SJCC

Junior Women's Saber

Friday, March 15, 2024 at 10:30 AM

Walter E Washington Convention Center - Washington D.C, DC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 VADASZ Ibla P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 67% 23%
2 FERNANDEZ Martina 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
3 JEONG Katie 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
3 FESTA Carina 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
5 ZHANG XUANYI 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 33%
6 LEOU Korina 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 30% 6%
7 BOYNTON Ainsley 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
8 MAKLIN Sofia 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 42% 11%
9 WU Helen 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
10 LAURI Keira 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 4%
11 MANN Sophia J. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
12 DANTULURI Shalini 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
13 JOHNSON Lydia 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 19%
14 FAVO Isabella 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
15 MANKOVA Varvara 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
16 CHIARELLI Valentina 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 49% 12%
17 LIU Yifei 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
18 ZHANG Chenfei 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
19 HU Anna 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 22% 4%
20 HUANG Doris 100% 99% 91% 69% 37% 12% 2%
21 HENRY Soraya S. 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 7%
22 HUANG Rachael 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
23 MEDVINSKY Alexandra 100% 100% 97% 86% 60% 27% 6%
24 WEI JoyAnn 100% 100% 98% 86% 60% 26% 5%
24 NATH Trisha 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
26 KHAN Alissa 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11%
27 DAMBAL Sasha 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 11% 1%
28 GOMERMAN Sophia 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 32% 7%
29 TABANGAY Heartlyn 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
30 FAN Grace 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
31 DHAR Layla 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4%
32 COLBY Mercer 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 5% -
33 SCOTT Eve 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
34 GUGALA Hanna 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 7%
35 KONDEV Elizabeth 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
36 VINOGOROVA Sofiia 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 5%
37 MALEK Zolie 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3%
38 HAMMERSTROM Aria 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 2%
39 CALLAHAN Chase J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
40 WANG Callie 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 3%
41 XU Emily T. 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 13% 1%
42 XIE Nora 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 7% 1%
43 PANTALEON-MAZOLA Amari 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 18% 3%
44 CHAVAN Arya 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 17% 2%
45 MERCHANT Aishwarya 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
46 ZHANG Sophie 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10%
47 SENOGLU Irmak 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
48 GUVEN Coco 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
49 ATTIA Jasmine 100% 100% 98% 88% 64% 30% 6%
50 LIN Nicole 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
51 LI Sonia 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
52 NAYAK Esha 100% 98% 86% 59% 26% 6% 1%
53 CAO Sophie 100% 89% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
54 LEE Lauren 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
55 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 28%
56 BERNARD Kathryn 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
57 WU Yuwei 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
58 DAVIDOVA Kira 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1%
59 STONE Coral 100% 99% 93% 74% 42% 15% 2%
60 LATYSHAVA Stephanie 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
61 NADKARNI Marisa 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
62 KRASOWITZ Lucy 100% 92% 66% 32% 9% 1% -
63 TAN Kylie 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
64 MYAT Chloe 100% 98% 85% 51% 15% 2% -
65 BUHAY Kirsten M. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
66 NATHANSON Sammy E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
67 LEE Alyson 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -
68 LIU Hannah 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 1%
69 LI Alexis 100% 100% 95% 70% 30% 5%
70 TA-ZHOU Emma 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
71 DEHON Inès 100% 99% 92% 72% 40% 13% 2%
72 LIU Kelly 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
73 GOSAVI Aabolee 100% 92% 61% 22% 4% - -
74 YU Holly 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
75 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 100% 97% 78% 41% 13% 2% -
76 PRESANTH Nandana 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
77 MACKAY Katherine 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
78 WANG Peijia 100% 79% 40% 11% 2% -
79 ZHAI AMY 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1%
80 CHI Claire 100% 93% 67% 31% 7% 1%
81 KANDADAI Lara 100% 97% 77% 40% 12% 2% -
82 SUHALIM Maree 100% 85% 46% 13% 1% - -
83 BARROSO Isabela 100% 87% 54% 22% 5% 1% -
83 NAYAK Antara 100% 78% 36% 8% 1% - -
85 KWON Ava 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
86 TESTROET Aubrey 100% 96% 78% 46% 16% 3% -
87 BORGUETA Madison 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
88 HAMBAZAZA Liisa 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
89 HANLON Lucy 100% 77% 27% 5% - -
90 RANJAN Diya 100% 68% 26% 5% - -
91 KITSON Sasha 100% 55% 12% 1% - -
92 MERMEGAS Olivia 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
93 LOPEZ-ONA Mia 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
94 PROBASCO Leila 100% 92% 67% 33% 10% 1% -
95 HUANG Neila 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
95 LI Yitong 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
97 KHOST Maeve 100% 78% 39% 12% 2% - -
98 WUNNAVA Ellora 100% 90% 56% 20% 4% - -
99 BUSH Bethany 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
99 WANG Jiayi 100% 88% 56% 23% 6% 1% -
101 ZHANG Jiaqing 100% 72% 30% 6% 1% - -
102 ZHENG Valentina 100% 98% 85% 57% 24% 6% -
103 ZHAO Emily W. 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
104 NEUMAN Ella 100% 95% 74% 39% 13% 2% -
105 BAINS Nandini 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% -
106 MCGRAW Sadie 100% 87% 55% 21% 5% 1% -
106 TURIANO Nadelle 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
108 FLEEGER Sophia 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.