March Fenceathon

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Saturday, March 16, 2024 at 8:00 AM

The Fencing Center of San Jose - san jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 AHN Hayley 100% 100% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
2 HSIAO Ariya 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
3 LI Jake 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
3 LEE Abigail 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 6%
5 YANG Steve 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
6 SHEN Gloria 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
7 ARYA Leela 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
8 HO Chloe 100% 93% 58% 20% 3% - -
9 HE Gary 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 6%
10 HSU Rachel 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
11 MA Isabelle 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 10%
12 CHEN Aiden 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 5% -
13 CHENG Audrey 100% 94% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
14 ANDERSON Gage 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 9%
15 DONG Nancy 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2%
16 CHEUNG Henry 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% 1%
17 SHEN Alaric 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
18 YU Xintong 100% 93% 65% 26% 6% 1% -
19 NGUYEN Nolan 100% 92% 64% 27% 5% -
20 SHENOY Sean 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
21 HO Cameron 100% 92% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
22 KIM Natalie 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 13% 1%
23 FINGERMAN Jackson 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
24 HONDA Emi 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
25 PARK Seojeong 100% 95% 69% 29% 6% - -
26 LI Audrey 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
27 LIU Madeleine 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.