March Fenceathon

Y-12 Mixed Saber

Saturday, March 16, 2024 at 9:30 AM

The Fencing Center of San Jose - san jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 THOMAS Liam 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1% -
2 WANG James 100% 100% 97% 83% 55% 23% 5% -
3 CHEN Sean 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32% 3%
3 XIE Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
5 MILLIKAN Aaron 100% 100% 95% 81% 53% 23% 6% -
6 LUO Gavin 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% - -
7 BOSSOW Grant 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 11% 1% -
8 LIN Rongxuan 100% 98% 87% 61% 29% 8% 1% -
9 YANG Renee 100% 82% 46% 16% 4% 1% - -
10 YIP Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 17%
11 GO Noa 100% 100% 97% 86% 62% 31% 10% 1%
12 IRVINE Cooper 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12% 1%
13 GUAN Dylan 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
14 ZHANG Hanzhi 100% 98% 80% 45% 15% 2% - -
15 LOADER Callyn 100% 86% 53% 22% 6% 1% - -
16 LAU Aayden 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.