2023-24 SoCal Division Summer National Qualifiers

Div II Men's Épée

Saturday, March 16, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Colina Middle School - Thousand Oaks, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NAZARIAN Jonah 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 14%
2 CROSSMAN Brandon 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 6%
3 GAUTHIER-PARKER Harrison 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 79%
3 PAINTER Noah 100% 98% 87% 57% 24% 5% -
5 AUSTIN Atlas 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 2% -
6 O’CONNOR Nathan (Finn) 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
7 SPEICHER Eric V. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
8 KIM Tristan 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
9 LEE Royce 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
10 CHARETTE Matthew 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4% -
11 VARON David 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 10%
12 BECK Eli 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 18% 3%
13 WONG David 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 2%
14 TEMPLEHOF Robert C. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
15 GADHVI Darius 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
16 NOURAFCHAN Jonah 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 8% 1%
17 SOKOLOVSKY Boris 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% -
18 KIM Remington 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
18 WILSON Theodore 100% 86% 53% 20% 4% 1% -
20 BELLASARIAN Benjamin 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2% -
21 DINGMAN Nash 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
22 CAMP Ryder 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 5% -
23 ROBINSON Dax 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
24 GRAHAM DICKINSON Jayden 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
25 SCHERZAY Ian 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% - -
26 HOFFMAN Tyler 100% 96% 77% 43% 13% 2%
27 BYRNE Quinlan 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.